Quote:
Originally Posted by nito
London accounted for 18% of the total population increase from 2011 to 2021 across England & Wales.
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I've had a look at data (last year available 2023 for France): between 2003 and 2023, the London LUZ (10,148 km²) accounted for 28.5% of population growth in the UK, whereas the Paris Region (12,012 km²) accounted only for 19.7% of population growth in Metropolitan France.
The population growth rate in the Paris Region between 2003 and 2023 was strictly similar to the population growth rate in the rest of France (because regions of high demographic dynamism are offset by regions experiencing population decline), but the London LUZ grew on average every year 0.3 percentage points more than the rest of the UK (rest of the UK grew by +0.63% per year, but the London LUZ grew by +0.95% per year).
But where London's outperformance in the UK is most obvious is when comparing its growth to the growth rates of other British metro areas. As per the figures I posted yesterday, Paris metro area has only mediocre growth compared to other French metro areas (Montpellier, Toulouse, Bordeaux, Nantes, etc), but in the UK London largely outperforms the other large British metro areas (Manchester, Birmingham, Glasgow, etc).
Here are the growth rates of the main British metro areas (international definition of the FUAs) between 2003 and 2023 compared to the London metro area (FUA definition):
- Leicester: +1.07% per year
- Bristol: +0.97%
- London: +0.96%
- Coventry: +0.93%
- Edinburgh: +0.85%
- Manchester: +0.75%
- Birmingham-West Midlands: +0.67%
- Southampton: +0.67%
- Leeds-Bradford: +0.66%
- Aberdeen: +0.58%
- Cardiff: +0.53%
- Belfast: +0.53%
- Sheffield: +0.52%
- Kingston upon Hull: +0.43%
- Portsmouth: +0.42%
- Newcastle: +0.39%
- Glasgow: +0.37%
- Liverpool: +0.34%
Apart from Leicester, which has experienced strong growth for unknown reasons, no large British metro area manages to grow faster than London (Bristol, which was long the most dynamic metro area in the UK, is now tied with London).
In comparison, the growth rate of the main French metro areas compared to the Paris metro area (international FUA definitions) between the 2007 and 2023 censuses:
- Geneva (French part): +1.93% per year
- Montpellier: +1.39%
- Toulouse: +1.34%
- Bordeaux: +1.29%
- Rennes: +1.22%
- Nantes: +1.21%
- Lyon: +0.88%
- Toulon: +0.57%
- Strasbourg: +0.55%
- Clermont-Ferrand: +0.52%
- Tours: +0.47%
- Paris: +0.44%
- Marseille: +0.41%
- Grenoble: +0.36%
- Lille: +0.34%
- Rouen: +0.34%
- Nice: +0.33%
- Nancy: -0.01%
Here, for the top metro areas, we have more North American growth rates, unseen in the rest of Europe (except Oslo, Stockholm, Dublin, Madrid, Barcelona, Valencia during their boom years, but none has sustained such high growth rates over such a long period; Spanish metro areas is usually 10 years boom, 10 years stagnation, 10 years boom, etc).
Quote:
Originally Posted by nito
Without seeing the data for all of France, would I be correct in saying that the growth is mostly focused on the provincial cities.
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Large regional capitals
+ Swiss border: Geneva but also small towns in the Jura mountains
+ Atlantic coast in general: small cities included. For instance the highest registered growth in the European part of France between 2007 and 2023 was in the metro area (or rather what the Americans would call "micropolitan area") of Saint-Geours-de-Maremne, which you have probably never heard about (neither have I), with +2.80% per year between 2007 and 2023. Saint-Geours-de-Maremne is in the Landes forest, the area of France that is now burning, but Saint-Geours-de-Maremne is located 2 hours south of the current fires, between Dax and the Atlantic coast. It's a 17 minutes drive from the surfing beaches of Capbreton, without the housing prices of the coast.
+ French Guiana and Mayotte
+ northern and southern coasts of Réunion
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