Quote:
Originally Posted by Yuri
France 2025 numbers are out: 66,351,959 inh.
Negative for the 2nd year: 610,065 births and 631,145 deaths, for a negative natural growth of –21,080 (–737 in 2024).
Natural growth in France was at +280,480 as late as 2006 and up to 2014 it was above 200k. In 2010, 802,000 births were registered and the number fell to a full 1/4 within 2025.
610,000 births were the lowest number ever recorded in France for the past 200 years except for the 1915-1919 and 1940-1942 periods. In 1825, for example, 1,026,604 births were recorded in France.
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Britain finally released their
2025 vital stats numbers.
England and Wales take ages to compute births and deaths. I was expecting a tiny negative but I tiny positive emerged:
649,410 births and
648,776 deaths for a
+634 surplus (+10,922 in 2024). TFR stands now at
1.39. Population:
69,487,000.
The UK natural growth reached a massive +255,544 as late as 2011. A whopping 812,970 births recorded in 2012.
Unlike France, however, the UK wasn't a big demographic hit on post-war. It actually recorded a negative natural growth in 1976, few years after Germany, being the 2nd country in the world to do so. From there they followed very different paths: Germany remained negative since then and Britain recovered and actually surpassed France on number of births by the 2000's-2010's.
And as France since 2024, from 2026, I don't think Britain will ever experience a positive natural growth again.