Worldwide Demographics

[Yuri]

France 2025 numbers are out: 66,351,959 inh.

Negative for the 2nd year: 610,065 births and 631,145 deaths, for a negative natural growth of –21,080 (–737 in 2024).

Natural growth in France was at +280,480 as late as 2006 and up to 2014 it was above 200k. In 2010, 802,000 births were registered and the number fell to a full 1/4 within 2025.

610,000 births were the lowest number ever recorded in France for the past 200 years except for the 1915-1919 and 1940-1942 periods. In 1825, for example, 1,026,604 births were recorded in France.

France and Argentina were always appointed as successful cases over holding on to high fertility levels decades after their demographic transition. France fell below 3 children per woman in 1949; Argentina in 1964. France got above 2 as late as 2010; Argentina in 2018. Now France plunged to 1.59; Argentina to 1.33.

And countries that tried to emulate the "French model", like Germany and Japan displayed some success over while making people believe the model worked. Japan rising from 1.26 in 2005 to 1.45 in 2015 only to fall to an all-time low of 1.12 in 2025; Germany 1.24 in 1994, kept on 1.3 up to 2011 and saw a spike surpassing the 1.5 for every year between 2015 and 2021, peaking at 1.59 in 2016. In 2024, back to 1.35.

This new declining trend is clearly universal and apparently unstoppable.