US Census Bureau data for Austin and other cities - Page 37

GoldenBoot · #**721** Posted **May 16, 2025, 4:15 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Novacek

I'm still not sure how much stock I put in these city numbers.

For the county/MSA numbers, they went back and retroactively corrected them, increasing them quite a bit due to miscounts especially of immigrants. Did they do so for the city numbers?

Since going back to pre-covid, the city has added like 100k additional housing units, while the population effectively hasn't budged.

I would not waste too much energy with city population numbers.

Yes, the Census Bureau does revise their estimates annually. As an example, last year they estimated COA's population on July 1, 2023 to be 979,882. This year - for some reason - they revised that 2023 estimate up by almost 9700 people to 989,583 with this year's estimate release. So, instead of growing by 13,706 - they now estimate Austin grew by only 4,005 from July 1, 2023 to July 1, 2024.

Lobotomizer · #**722** Posted **Jun 21, 2025, 3:21 PM**

Six homes on a former single home lot. This is how Austin keeps growing without sprawl. This is transformational...

Quote:

The simple concept of this six-unit apartment complex celebrates an open central stair that forms an inviting entry and divides the building into two discrete volumes. Limited to a 4,400-sf lot, the project prioritizes sustainability and efficiency by taking advantage of existing infrastructure already serving the central city.

https://www.bdcnetwork.com/home/news/552...-stair-project-permitted-in-austin-texas

AusTex · #**723** Posted **Jun 21, 2025, 7:56 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lobotomizer

Six homes on a former single home lot. This is how Austin keeps growing without sprawl. This is transformational...

https://www.bdcnetwork.com/home/news/552...-stair-project-permitted-in-austin-texas

I would like to know the exact location. I like the density for certain locations; Great Starter Homes, (if not allowed to be bought by VC and Corps) for rentals.

Architecturally, reminds me more of LA than Austin. Where is the stone, brick, wood or other materials on the street side? Stucco? Really? Do not Trash Our Austin with Cheap Throw-Away-Stucco Only Architecture!

wwmiv · #**724** Posted **Jun 21, 2025, 8:15 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lobotomizer

Six homes on a former single home lot. This is how Austin keeps growing without sprawl. This is transformational...

https://www.bdcnetwork.com/home/news/552...-stair-project-permitted-in-austin-texas

Six rental units, not owner-occupied homes. Would like to see more of these, but ownership models are better.

AusTex · #**725** Posted **Jun 21, 2025, 8:32 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by wwmiv

Six rental units, not owner-occupied homes. Would like to see more of these, but ownership models are better.

My mistake. How the low end "Buy" market; Affordable Housing is really a Myth in present day USA. Free Markets trickle up without strong ......public participation.

Lobotomizer · #**726** Posted **Jun 21, 2025, 10:46 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by wwmiv

Would like to see more of these

Don't worry, you will see this all across the city moving forward. Austin neighborhoods will be unrecognizable fifty years from now. Most of us may not be around anymore, because change of this magnitude takes time, but this is the future. It is feasible that Austin in it's existing boundaries could contain twice as much housing as it currently has EASILY. Truly transformational!

loonytoony · #**727** Posted **Jun 22, 2025, 3:38 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by AusTex

I would like to know the exact location. I like the density for certain locations; Great Starter Homes, (if not allowed to be bought by VC and Corps) for rentals.

Architecturally, reminds me more of LA than Austin. Where is the stone, brick, wood or other materials on the street side? Stucco? Really? Do not Trash Our Austin with Cheap Throw-Away-Stucco Only Architecture!

It's on 14th, near ACC Rio Grande.

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/707-W-14th-St-Austin-TX-78701/306640473_zpid/

Lobotomizer · #**728** Posted **Jun 22, 2025, 4:24 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by loonytoony

It's on 14th, near ACC Rio Grande.

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/707-W-14th-St-Austin-TX-78701/306640473_zpid/

We should all pitch in, and purchase the building. We can make it the official SSP Austin HQ. There's only like a dozen or so of us, so we could all move in, and do a livestream. It'd be like the Real World, but with nerds.

LoneStarMike · #**729** Posted **Jul 8, 2025, 2:47 PM**

Lots of interesting data released by the Airport Advisory Commission.

Austin Demographic Trends and Population Change

Quote:

Travis County growth is slower than other Austin metro counties but leads in growth among international migrants. Without it, the county could
have experienced overall population decline.

Quote:

The Austin metro is projected to surpass the San Antonio metro area and grow to over 5 million by 2060.

Quote:

Austin is projected to grow to between 1.3 and 1.7 million by 2060.

GoldenBoot · #**730** Posted **Jul 10, 2025, 7:25 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by LoneStarMike

Lots of interesting data released by the Airport Advisory Commission.

Austin Demographic Trends and Population Change

Take this report with an unbelievably large grain of salt. The city's demographic department has, for decades, been far too conservative in their estimates.

Both Austin and San Antonio's metro areas will surpass 5 million quite a few years before 2060. Also, the 400,000 difference in their COA estimate for 2060 is silly. That's a huge gap.

JoninATX · #**731** Posted **Jan 9, 2026, 12:34 AM**

Back in 4th place!

Quote:

Austin’s January 2025 population estimate was 1,054,007 — a slight increase from the July 2024 estimate of 1,033,097.

Fort Worth’s January 2025 population estimate grew to 1,030,987 from 1,009,064 in July 2024.

The overtaking comes even though Fort Worth had a percent change of 11.1% between 2020 to 2025, while Austin only had a percent change of 9.6% for those years. Still, it was an increase from Austin’s 2020 to 2024 percent change of 7.4%.

https://spectrumlocalnews.com/tx/south-t...most-populous-city--dethrones-fort-worth

JoninATX · #**732** Posted **Jan 9, 2026, 12:36 AM**

I know to take these estimates with a grain of salt, but I can't help to shove it in Fort Worth face! Lol I'm such a nerd ��

wwmiv · #**733** Posted **Jan 9, 2026, 1:35 AM**

Are the numbers stated as previous estimates actually revisions of previous estimates in which in the unrevised / previous vintage Fort Worth had the larger population? I ask… because from what I’m reading, Austin was the bigger of the two in both years…

1,033>1,009
1,054>1,031

JoninATX · #**734** Posted **Jan 10, 2026, 12:34 AM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by wwmiv

Are the numbers stated as previous estimates actually revisions of previous estimates in which in the unrevised / previous vintage Fort Worth had the larger population? I ask… because from what I’m reading, Austin was the bigger of the two in both years…

1,033>1,009
1,054>1,031

Wwmiv this is from last May stating Austin’s population was estimated at 993,588 in July 2024, and Fort Worth population was at 1,008,106.

https://www.kxan.com/news/local/austin/f...y-in-texas-atx-drops-to-13th-nationwide/

Novacek · #**735** Posted **Mar 26, 2026, 1:59 PM**

Census estimates for counties/metros are out.

Austin metro 6th largest numeric growth (300ish people behind Charlotte).

SA in 9th.

Still looking for percentages.

The ATX · #**736** Posted **Mar 26, 2026, 3:22 PM**

The San Fraciso Chronicle put together a spreadsheet for fastest growing large Metros in 2025. They use a 1.5 million plus population to define large metro. One million is typically used for large Metros, but the CB doesn't have a specific definition for large Metros as far as I know. Here's a screen shot of the top 15, and Austin is #1.

https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/population-san-francisco-bay-area-22079937.php

JoninATX · #**737** Posted **Mar 26, 2026, 6:52 PM**

The thing I'm more impressed with is the birth rate in Travis County. Out of the 5 county metro area, it had more births that net migration.

Riverranchdrone · #**738** Posted **Mar 26, 2026, 11:46 PM**

So we are about 200k less than San Antonio in both city and metro. I am thinking we will beat them in metro population before we beat them in city population.

GoldenBoot · #**739** Posted **Mar 28, 2026, 8:59 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riverranchdrone

So we are about 200k less than San Antonio in both city and metro. I am thinking we will beat them in metro population before we beat them in city population.

I still contend that the Austin MSA will surpass the population of the San Antonio MSA between 2034 & 2036. Both metros will be in the ballpark of 3.4 million when this happens.

The city of Austin is a LONG WAY off in surpassing the city of San Antonio in population.

There is a chance one or a combo of Burnet, Lee and Milan counties being added to Austin's MSA in the 2030 Census.

drummer · #**740** Posted **Mar 30, 2026, 2:32 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldenBoot

I still contend that the Austin MSA will surpass the population of the San Antonio MSA between 2034 & 2036. Both metros will be in the ballpark of 3.4 million when this happens.

The city of Austin is a LONG WAY off in surpassing the city of San Antonio in population.

There is a chance one or a combo of Burnet, Lee and Milan counties being added to Austin's MSA in the 2030 Census.

I've heard the potential of Burnet and Blanco Counties, but I haven't heard Lee and Milam. That's interesting. I could certainly see it down the road, but with the next one? Is there that much commuting happening from those two now? Curious to learn.