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Originally Posted by aberdeen5698
I think people get their wires crossed a bit between "number of cars" and "number of cars on the road". There is a possible scenario where the total number of cars goes down if AVs really are widely adopted and that leads to more car sharing. But that does not necessarily equate to less trips, and if the number of trips don't fall then the number of cars on the road won't fall either.
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We may see car (if AVs remain in car form) usage go up actually. Like I mentioned before, people may switch from other modes of transport such as public transit or bikes or scooters or even walking, to AVs, as long as AVs can maintain a good value proposition.
Quote:
Originally Posted by aberdeen5698
I'm personally skeptical about the degree of car sharing that one might reasonably expect. The people who are OK with sharing cars can already do so through services like EVO. That number might go up a bit since sharing is a lot more convenient when the car picks you up at your door and you don't have to worry about where to park it, but I don't imagine it's going to be a very significant increase.
And all the hype about earning revenue from your car by allowing it to serve as a ride sharing vehicle when you're not using it seems overblown to me. I don't know that many car owners who would be willing to let anonymous people use their car. Perhaps I'm wrong about this, but we'll see.
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I'm also skeptical. Some people like the concept for car sharing, and some might do it, but when it comes down to it, I doubt the vast majority will unless we see a massive paradigm shift as to how society views car ownership.
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