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  #1981  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2020, 10:19 PM
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Originally Posted by wave46 View Post
Interesting. What sections of the line did you end up using most?

The Canadian just was so inconvenient for any travel I might have planned. 3X/week isn't enough for a short-haul round trip of <800km, so I usually took a car/bus for those sorts of trips. Farther than that (say, >1000km) and an airplane was the ticket.
Mostly Winnipeg-Edmonton and Winnipeg-Toronto. Many trips on both segments. The Edmonton-Vancouver segment I rode less often but still probably around 10 times over the years. Although my last trip out of Manitoba by VIA was over a decade ago.

Any prospect of me taking VIA to Edmonton again went out the window when the schedule was lengthened again. It used to be that you would leave Winnipeg in the evening and be in Edmonton at the crack of dawn the next day... now it takes nearly 2x as long as driving. With $100 (one-way) sale airfares, there's just no point.
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  #1982  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2020, 11:50 PM
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Originally Posted by milomilo View Post
The small amount of revenue the rail operators would get from renting track out must not be worth the inconvenience.
The most likely explanation but we don't know if CN is rationally or well managed and the existence of the monopoly may mean that passenger rail has to compete with highway, err, railway robbery freight prices (also bad for the region). Everything was kept secret, and related municipal meetings were held in camera. The lack of transparency is a big part of my problem with it.

The calculus may change in the coming years as the city grows and traffic pressures increase, and as some other rail improvements happen.
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  #1983  
Old Posted Nov 13, 2020, 11:52 PM
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The most likely explanation but we don't know if CN is rationally or well managed and the existence of the monopoly may mean that passenger rail has to compete with highway, err, railway robbery prices. Everything was kept secret, and related municipal meetings were held in camera. The lack of transparency is a big part of my problem with it.

The calculus may change in the coming years as the city grows and traffic pressures increase, and as some other planned rail improvements happened (they may or may not impact how hard it is to get the scheduling to work out; not sure).
That is why, regardless of what anyone says, passenger rail isn't about the numbers. It is about the politics.
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  #1984  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 12:14 AM
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The most likely explanation but we don't know if CN is rationally or well managed and the existence of the monopoly may mean that passenger rail has to compete with highway, err, railway robbery freight prices (also bad for the region). Everything was kept secret, and related municipal meetings were held in camera. The lack of transparency is a big part of my problem with it.
You're absolutely correct, I agree 100%. There's no-one that dislikes monopolies more than me, despite loving capitalism. It probably would be better for everyone that a public body owned those important pieces of railway (like in Halifax) and rented them out to the various operators, using the revenue to pay for upgrades such that supply meets demand.

But I've learned to accept reality. For whatever reason, Canada loves state sanctioned monopolies. Perhaps the best that could be done in regards to the Halifax piece and other important bits of rail is eventually for the government at some level to just negotiate with the owner and buy it. They'll get ripped off, of course, but in the long run at least the line can be run in the public interest. Until these bits of rail become so valuable to the public that they are worth buying, I doubt there can be much progress. And that time may never come.

That's a pretty pessimistic outlook from me, but I don't think I am being unrealistic - just look at the shenanigans CP pulled in Vancouver just to sell the abandoned Arbutus rail spur they had no use for. If they can charge that price for something that is of zero productive value, imagine what price CN will charge for something that is of huge economic value, like the rails in Halifax must be.
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  #1985  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 12:20 AM
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That is why, regardless of what anyone says, passenger rail isn't about the numbers. It is about the politics.
It is about numbers. The value of cargo that CP and CN carry is immense, they truly are giants. Their combined value is about $200B - they are worth far more to the economy than any passenger rail will be in the foreseeable future. So if we want to put more trains on their rails, we have to pay the price to displace a cargo train that is going to be worth way more than the people train.
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  #1986  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 12:37 AM
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Another aspect of this to consider is that the secrecy makes it easy for people who don't want rail or transit to torpedo any related projects but say that they tried.

Make up a bare bones proposal to run the train on CN or CP controlled tracks. Have an in camera meeting offering to pay them ~$0. Announce to the public that the whole thing is totally unworkable and move on. There can be no public discussions of alternatives, trade-offs, and values, because the necessary information is not public.
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  #1987  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 1:14 AM
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Originally Posted by milomilo View Post
It is about numbers. The value of cargo that CP and CN carry is immense, they truly are giants. Their combined value is about $200B - they are worth far more to the economy than any passenger rail will be in the foreseeable future. So if we want to put more trains on their rails, we have to pay the price to displace a cargo train that is going to be worth way more than the people train.
Who paid for the CP mainline? Canadian taxpayers
Who created CN? The Canadian government with Canadian taxpayers money.

So, do not say it isn't about politics when those 2 compnaies would not be here if it weren't for our taxes getting them going.

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Originally Posted by someone123 View Post
Another aspect of this to consider is that the secrecy makes it easy for people who don't want rail or transit to torpedo any related projects but say that they tried.

Make up a bare bones proposal to run the train on CN or CP controlled tracks. Have an in camera meeting offering to pay them ~$0. Announce to the public that the whole thing is totally unworkable and move on. There can be no public discussions of alternatives, trade-offs, and values, because the necessary information is not public.
An on time passenger train running throughout Canada is completely possible, but no one wants to play that political game.
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  #1988  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 1:28 AM
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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe View Post
Who paid for the CP mainline? Canadian taxpayers
Who created CN? The Canadian government with Canadian taxpayers money.

So, do not say it isn't about politics when those 2 compnaies would not be here if it weren't for our taxes getting them going.
Well everything decided by politicians is politics. And I agree it isn't fair, CP and CN owe their current wealth to Canadians. But the world is what it is, and CN and CP are now gigantic publicly owned companies that are extremely valuable to Canadians, and they do transport a metric shit ton of stuff for us. Basing visions on a reality where the federal government interferes with them for the sake of an imperceptible impact on GDP from improved VIA is unrealistic.
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  #1989  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 1:33 AM
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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe View Post
An on time passenger train running throughout Canada is completely possible, but no one wants to play that political game.
Possible, but not valuable. We already have an excellent transportation system connecting all the Canadian cities that does not require subsidy and is much faster and more reliable than rail service - aircraft.
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  #1990  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 1:57 AM
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Originally Posted by milomilo View Post
Well everything decided by politicians is politics. And I agree it isn't fair, CP and CN owe their current wealth to Canadians. But the world is what it is, and CN and CP are now gigantic publicly owned companies that are extremely valuable to Canadians, and they do transport a metric shit ton of stuff for us. Basing visions on a reality where the federal government interferes with them for the sake of an imperceptible impact on GDP from improved VIA is unrealistic.
You do know the federal government is the one that makes the regulations they operate with. If a government wanted to destroy their monopolies, they could. So, yup, it is politics.

Want numbers for who would use a non existent service? You wouldn't know till it exists. Who could take the burden of a failure? The government.

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Possible, but not valuable. We already have an excellent transportation system connecting all the Canadian cities that does not require subsidy and is much faster and more reliable than rail service - aircraft.
An "excellent" transportation system that constantly asks to be bailed out....

Let's say the government decided to let them fail. What would happen? We would no longer have an excellent transportation system.
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  #1991  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 2:07 AM
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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe View Post
An "excellent" transportation system that constantly asks to be bailed out....

Let's say the government decided to let them fail. What would happen? We would no longer have an excellent transportation system.
VIA is a never ending bailout, it's built into their business model. They don't want to be, which is why they want to focus on routes that actually have a hope of being profitable.

What would happen if the airlines went bust? Simple - they'd go bankrupt and another company would buy their assets and run the routes profitably, pricing them according to supply and demand. We should let that happen. If it ended up with the deletion of the WestJet/Air Canada duopoly, prices would probably go down. Look at airfares in Europe and Australia - it's clear that airfares can be cheaper than they are in Canada.
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  #1992  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 8:38 AM
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How about we let provinces and cities drive the process and force the railway operators to reasonably and transparently share the public resource they inherited?

There's no zero sum game and VIA is not in charge of everything. I followed the NS rail stuff pretty closely. It died because of a failure to reach a deal with CN, with the details never released to the public. It had nothing to do with trade-offs between service for Toronto or Montreal and Halifax or Truro or Moncton. Had the service been expanded in NS, new provincial and municipal funding would have arrived along with fares. The service as planned didn't require subsidy from VIA or the federal government.

Here in BC the useful rail lines would be a route around the Lower Mainland to begin with and perhaps restoring the old route on Vancouver Island. The cross-country service is a tourist train that provides no transportation value to the vast majority in BC.
I agree that, even if we had HSR from coast to coast, if you're going from, say, Vancouver to Montreal, the plane will always be more convenient. But I'd say there are uses for it beyond just localized Island and Lower Mainland routes. A non-meandering route (as much as is possible with the mountains) to Kelowna and Kamloops from Vancouver, and then a line down Hwy 97's Okanagan corridor between Salmon Arm (perhaps over to Kamloops to make a loop) and down to Osoyoos would be decently useful if reliable, affordable, and at least as fast as driving. If you had moderate HSR speeds, I could see trains being economical from BC as far as Edmonton/Calgary, perhaps Saskatchewan.
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  #1993  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 9:30 AM
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Originally Posted by ue View Post
I agree that, even if we had HSR from coast to coast, if you're going from, say, Vancouver to Montreal, the plane will always be more convenient. But I'd say there are uses for it beyond just localized Island and Lower Mainland routes. A non-meandering route (as much as is possible with the mountains) to Kelowna and Kamloops from Vancouver, and then a line down Hwy 97's Okanagan corridor between Salmon Arm (perhaps over to Kamloops to make a loop) and down to Osoyoos would be decently useful if reliable, affordable, and at least as fast as driving. If you had moderate HSR speeds, I could see trains being economical from BC as far as Edmonton/Calgary, perhaps Saskatchewan.
I've said this before, but you could plunk Austria over the area covering Vancouver, Kelowna, Kamploops, Edmonton, and Calgary. They're comparable in population, area, wealth, and rugged terrain. Yet they aren't at all comparable in rail service.

That's the scale passenger rail works at in real life. Germany, France, and Spain all have excellent rail systems, but taking a train from Hamburg to Barcelona isn't a convenient or fast trip. There are political and administrative reasons for that, which wouldn't exist in Canada, but Europe could also smooth out those issues. They haven't because they don't really need to in the same way that Canada doesn't need coast-to-coast HSR.

HSR across Canada is a distraction. Canada should build strong regional rail networks. Once they exist and establish, extending regular service across the bald-ass prairie, or to the Maritimes, or to Sudbury, becomes realistic.
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  #1994  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 11:37 AM
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HSR across Canada is a distraction. Canada should build strong regional rail networks. Once they exist and establish, extending regular service across the bald-ass prairie, or to the Maritimes, or to Sudbury, becomes realistic.
I agree. There's no need for this to be VIA though, this could easily built by the provinces if the population wanted it, but they don't - not strongly enough to vote for parties that would implement it at least.

And while a network of lines between smaller and larger centres may be a great goal, it's not what you would start with when we have zero useful passenger rail in most of western Canada (the Canadian isn't useful). Your initial line would have to be the single line that is both economically feasible on its own merits and is politically desirable. In the prairies, the only place I can see this being a reality is either commuter rail around Calgary and maybe Edmonton, a passenger train to Banff and/or YYC, or a fastish train between Calgary and Edmonton.

Maybe there's some potential around Winnipeg, but the cities in SK and MB will be better off focusing on public transit in their boundaries rather than outside.
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  #1995  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 3:16 PM
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I've said this before, but you could plunk Austria over the area covering Vancouver, Kelowna, Kamploops, Edmonton, and Calgary. They're comparable in population, area, wealth, and rugged terrain. Yet they aren't at all comparable in rail service.

That's the scale passenger rail works at in real life. Germany, France, and Spain all have excellent rail systems, but taking a train from Hamburg to Barcelona isn't a convenient or fast trip. There are political and administrative reasons for that, which wouldn't exist in Canada, but Europe could also smooth out those issues. They haven't because they don't really need to in the same way that Canada doesn't need coast-to-coast HSR.

HSR across Canada is a distraction. Canada should build strong regional rail networks. Once they exist and establish, extending regular service across the bald-ass prairie, or to the Maritimes, or to Sudbury, becomes realistic.
I agree. The problem is, the only region that Via or, as it seems, anyone else cares about is the Corridor.

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I agree. There's no need for this to be VIA though, this could easily built by the provinces if the population wanted it, but they don't - not strongly enough to vote for parties that would implement it at least.

And while a network of lines between smaller and larger centres may be a great goal, it's not what you would start with when we have zero useful passenger rail in most of western Canada (the Canadian isn't useful). Your initial line would have to be the single line that is both economically feasible on its own merits and is politically desirable. In the prairies, the only place I can see this being a reality is either commuter rail around Calgary and maybe Edmonton, a passenger train to Banff and/or YYC, or a fastish train between Calgary and Edmonton.

Maybe there's some potential around Winnipeg, but the cities in SK and MB will be better off focusing on public transit in their boundaries rather than outside.
3 cities have built commuter rail. Of them, one has not been expanded from it's initial route, except for adding 1 more station. Yet they tout themselves as being about transit and being green.

Local transit is not what Via or regional rail is about. It is about serving a local area. Outside of that, you are screwed.

Let's say Ontario and Quebec focused on public transit in their own provinces. How would people commute between Gatineau and Ottawa? Your premise falls apart the minute you forget that we are a nation of movers. We don't all live within walking distance of our work. We also don't vacation in our own cities.

The other thing you miss is the tax base. Right now, places like AB are hurting due to the downturn in oil. They are laying off health care workers, even during the pandemic. So, to provide intercity transit isn't going to happen. The federal government, on the other hand, has the tax base to do this.

Another thing you missed? negotiating with CN/CP. Just imagine each province having to negotiate with them, as apposed to one negotiated agreement across the country.

Now, should the country's rail routes be split into regions? Yes. Make each major city a hub, and a place where trains terminate. They do it in the Corridor. There is not a thru service from Windsor to Quebec City. You have to transfer. So, why not do the same everywhere else. The Ocean, for instance, have it be cut in Moncton. Then, if service from Saint John is added, it is easier to connect to Halifax or Montreal. Do the same in Winnipeg. Then adding the southern route, or the lake route would be more seamless.

Instead, Via is running themselves so that they will only operate on their tracks.

Canadians built this country with the rail line. All Canadians should have access to reasonable rail service. HSR is a dead issue when we cannot even service ll our major cities with SSR. HFR is pitiful when we cannot even run NFR on time.
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  #1996  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 3:28 PM
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I was reminded the other day why I so prefer rail over busses for intercity travel.

I was passing by the local VIA station here in Moncton. The VIA Atlantic is not currently running due to the pandemic, but Maritime Bus (our regional bus service here in the Maritimes) uses the VIA station as it's depot. There were about 3-4 busses at the station at the time, all preparing to begin their routes out of the city. There were also three RCMP cruisers in the parking lot too, lights flashing, with some bearded disheveled man draped cross-eagle over the back of one of the cruisers being cuffed by one of the constables.

There seem to be a disproportionate number of crazies who do their intercity travel on the bus. While it is not uncommon to hear of incidents involving bus passengers, you rarely hear of any criminality on the train. Train travel is just so much more sophisticated and relaxing compared to the bus. You don't usually have to worry about your seatmate trying to stab you on the train.
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  #1997  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 3:29 PM
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HSR across Canada is a distraction. Canada should build strong regional rail networks. Once they exist and establish, extending regular service across the bald-ass prairie, or to the Maritimes, or to Sudbury, becomes realistic.
I absolutely agree with you. this why I have been saying that we should scrap transcontinental service. It will never provide reliable convenient service in addition to never making money. Shorter routes increases the probability of arriving on time regardless of how slow the service is. It would only take modest improvements to create reasonable trip times.

HFR at this point in time only makes sense in the corridor and Edmonton-Calgary routes. At some point in time St John-Moncton-Truro-Halifax would also make sense. This is not to say they they shouldn't have 1 or 2 trains a day on that route now. Because of distances and freight traffic it is only feasible to to have daily service between Calgary and Winnipeg.
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  #1998  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 3:37 PM
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Mostly Winnipeg-Edmonton and Winnipeg-Toronto. Many trips on both segments. The Edmonton-Vancouver segment I rode less often but still probably around 10 times over the years. Although my last trip out of Manitoba by VIA was over a decade ago.

Any prospect of me taking VIA to Edmonton again went out the window when the schedule was lengthened again. It used to be that you would leave Winnipeg in the evening and be in Edmonton at the crack of dawn the next day... now it takes nearly 2x as long as driving. With $100 (one-way) sale airfares, there's just no point.
For a comparison I did some shopping online for trips from Winnipeg to Edmonton.

For December 14th (the first day Canadian service resumes out West), the prices for 1350km journey come out to:

Airfare: $126 on Westjet (2h 14min). Admittedly, regular fares look to be around $240.

Bus: not possible.

Driving: depends if you own your own car and the mileage it gets. I didn't bother figuring out rental costs. Google says about ~13hrs by road. With a reasonably fuel efficient car that you own, you'd probably spend less than $100 in gasoline.

Rail: $99.75 with a time of 1 day, 20 minutes.

Even valuing my time at minimum wage and assuming worst-case airfare, the savings in cost aren't worth the brutal timeline.
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  #1999  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 4:27 PM
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Originally Posted by MonctonRad View Post
I was reminded the other day why I so prefer rail over busses for intercity travel.

I was passing by the local VIA station here in Moncton. The VIA Atlantic is not currently running due to the pandemic, but Maritime Bus (our regional bus service here in the Maritimes) uses the VIA station as it's depot. There were about 3-4 busses at the station at the time, all preparing to begin their routes out of the city. There were also three RCMP cruisers in the parking lot too, lights flashing, with some bearded disheveled man draped cross-eagle over the back of one of the cruisers being cuffed by one of the constables.

There seem to be a disproportionate number of crazies who do their intercity travel on the bus. While it is not uncommon to hear of incidents involving bus passengers, you rarely hear of any criminality on the train. Train travel is just so much more sophisticated and relaxing compared to the bus. You don't usually have to worry about your seatmate trying to stab you on the train.
I and other family members have taken Maritime Bus (and Acadian Lines, SMT, etc.) many dozens of times over the decades and I don't recall ever worrying about a seatmate trying to stab me, or seeing anyone acting otherwise threatening or crazy. Yes there will always be classist wealthy people who view VIA as more sophisticated because VIA (in the modern era) doesn't actually provide much regional transportation to typical people in the region and instead is dominated by affluent holiday makers using it for recreation as a sort of land cruise. So yes, affluent people are often going to prefer the company of one another over average Joes (in this case likely below average income-wise since the "average" Joe goes by car nowadays). But for VIA not to provide useful transportation that attracts locals is a bug, not a feature. If that changes, the clientele will change with it.

In terms of the incident you witnessed, are there any details indicating this was actually a bus passenger rather than someone who just happened to be in that vicinity? I can't speak for Moncton but in the HRM, busy areas such as downtown and transit hubs tend to have various people around, including the odd panhandler or homeless person, who aren't necessarily patrons of the closest business.
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  #2000  
Old Posted Nov 14, 2020, 4:27 PM
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Ask yourself, would anyone fly between Toronto and Vancouver if it only flew every second day?
Yes, because even if it only flew every second day, you'd be in Vancouver in 5-6 hours from one's departure, instead of the 4 days it took your counterpart on VIA. At those distances, even high-speed rail doesn't work. Regular rail is not even realistic for most.

The economics of running a train don't even look that much better than utilization of an airplane at that point, because you need several crews, food for passengers, etc. etc. for a several day journey. It's the same reason why very few people take an ocean liner across the Atlantic today, or why cross-country bus services died.

There's a reason why there's an optimal modes of transportation for given distances and population densities. People overwhelmingly take a mode of transport that fits the distance traveled and the density of the area they are in. Europe is lined with motorways and has tons of flights, despite their train networks.
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