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Originally Posted by Feathered Friend
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As with most political landscapes post-election it's going to depend on the seat distribution of the NDP caucus, who runs again, new faces, etc. We already know we're going to have a new finance minister too. So things will change at least somewhat. If we again see the 2017 scenario but on steroids, where the NDP sweeps the urban ridings and holds the island, but then is basically shut out of all of the rural ones, the chances of a first-term MLA in Metro Vancouver getting a position in the cabinet are obviously a lot higher.
At this point if the polls are truly representative of public sentiment and the NDP are in the high 40s-low 50s with a 15-20 point polling lead, there are going to be a ton of interior seats flipping orange and less chance of a Minister Sharma.