Quote:
Originally Posted by aberdeen5698
I'm thinking less about seaworthiness on the open waters and more about the ships getting bashed up by waves slamming them into the docks (not to mention the docks themselves). I guess they try to haul them in pretty tightly, but it seemed like it might be a concern in the more open waters of the strait.
Container ship loading has pretty fine tolerances, I wonder if they suspend stevedoring operations in heavy weather?
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The biggest swell anticipated at Roberts Bank is two meters. The worst case scenario is a 4 metre wave caused by a tsunami. Some Norwegian oil platforms load tankers directly from a floating terminal, and north sea waves are typically 2-3 metres in summer, and up to 10 metres in winter. That suggests there's existing experience with loading tankers in worse conditions than are expected to be experienced here.
The VLCC tankers expected to use the new terminal will be at least three times bigger in volume than the Aframax tankers in Burrard Inlet, and there are expected to be a tanker leaving only every two to three days if the new pipeline reaches maximum capacity of a million barrels a day. If there's disruptive weather, it's possible to suspend loading, just as BC Ferries try to avoid sailing in storms.
One interesting scenario suggests that some of the diluted bitumen coming from Alberta could go directly to the four operating refineries in Washington State, which currently receive Canadian stock from tankers that load in Burrard Inlet. It would only need a short spur pipeline, and that would reduce the tanker exports from Roberts Bank to the far east. There are some big questions yet to be answered about the potential customers for additional Alberta diluted bitumen. While both South Korea and Japan are slow to adopt EVs, and rely on imported oil, they currently get it from the middle east, and their refineries are designed to accommodate crude oil, not diluted bitumen. China is rapidly electrifying its transportation and how long they'll need to import oil in any significant volume is very unclear.