|
Posted Feb 3, 2023, 1:07 AM
|
|
Registered User
|
|
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 4,524
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yuri
Brazilian 2022 Census, preliminary number: 207.8 million people
That’s almost 6 million below official estimates, which was expected, at least by me.
After being the world’s 5th most populated country for almost 30 years following the end of USSR, Brazil is now 7th, surpassed by both Pakistan and Nigeria.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yuri
More from Brazilian 2022 Census (preview). Urban areas:
---------------------------- 2022 -------- 2010 -------- 2000
Code:
BRASIL ---------------- 207.750.291 - 190.747.731 - 169.799.170 --- 8,91% -- 12,34%
São Paulo -------------- 21.769.256 -- 19.520.758 -- 17.735.391 -- 11,52% -- 10,07%
Rio de Janeiro --------- 12.071.209 -- 11.769.605 -- 10.802.930 --- 2,56% --- 8,95%
Belo Horizonte ---------- 4.845.341 --- 4.563.078 --- 4.086.680 --- 6,19% -- 11,66%
Brasília ---------------- 3.708.201 --- 3.187.984 --- 2.507.587 -- 16,32% -- 27,13%
Porto Alegre ------------ 3.672.397 --- 3.616.039 --- 3.409.968 --- 1,56% --- 6,04%
Recife ------------------ 3.549.490 --- 3.513.174 --- 3.198.113 --- 1,03% --- 9,85%
Fortaleza --------------- 3.541.226 --- 3.291.204 --- 2.803.413 --- 7,60% -- 17,40%
Curitiba ---------------- 3.475.297 --- 2.993.678 --- 2.608.846 -- 16,09% -- 14,75%
Salvador ---------------- 3.361.923 --- 3.266.562 --- 2.857.776 --- 2,92% -- 14,30%
Campinas ---------------- 2.599.406 --- 2.257.504 --- 1.932.238 -- 15,15% -- 18,09%
Goiânia ----------------- 2.287.443 --- 1.980.649 --- 1.582.680 -- 15,49% -- 25,15%
Belém ------------------- 2.063.123 --- 2.025.276 --- 1.784.158 --- 1,87% -- 13,51%
Manaus ------------------ 2.054.731 --- 1.802.014 --- 1.405.835 -- 14,02% -- 28,18%
Vitória ----------------- 1.818.375 --- 1.565.393 --- 1.337.187 -- 16,16% -- 17,07%
Santos ------------------ 1.702.245 --- 1.556.718 --- 1.395.330 --- 9,35% -- 11,57%
São Luís ---------------- 1.508.450 --- 1.309.330 --- 1.070.688 -- 15,21% -- 22,29%
Natal ------------------- 1.263.314 --- 1.187.899 ----- 980.897 --- 6,35% -- 21,10%
Florianópolis ----------- 1.211.895 ----- 851.955 ----- 687.791 -- 42,25% -- 23,87%
João Pessoa ------------- 1.201.683 --- 1.013.215 ----- 853.926 -- 18,60% -- 18,65%
Maceió ------------------ 1.168.590 --- 1.088.456 ----- 931.563 --- 7,36% -- 16,84%
São José dos Campos ----- 1.073.540 ----- 925.887 ----- 806.734 -- 15,95% -- 14,77%
Teresina ---------------- 1.043.567 ----- 969.690 ----- 845.052 --- 7,62% -- 14,75%
Cuiabá ------------------ 1.009.955 ----- 803.694 ----- 698.644 -- 25,66% -- 15,04%
Campo Grande -------------- 942.140 ----- 786.797 ----- 663.621 -- 19,74% -- 18,56%
Sorocaba ------------------ 925.539 ----- 739.572 ----- 624.461 -- 25,15% -- 18,43%
Aracaju ------------------- 839.328 ----- 756.952 ----- 611.020 -- 10,88% -- 23,88%
Jundiaí ------------------- 832.737 ----- 633.273 ----- 529.990 -- 26,73% -- 19,49%
Londrina ------------------ 750.262 ----- 651.632 ----- 577.404 -- 15,14% -- 12,86%
Ribeirão Preto ------------ 748.067 ----- 642.343 ----- 535.652 -- 16,46% -- 19,92%
Itajaí-B. Camboriú -------- 739.237 ----- 478.984 ----- 345.830 -- 54,33% -- 38,50%
Uberlândia ---------------- 725.536 ----- 604.013 ----- 501.214 -- 20,12% -- 20,51%
Joinville ----------------- 663.441 ----- 540.098 ----- 453.249 -- 22,84% -- 19,16%
Feira de Santana ---------- 652.592 ----- 556.642 ----- 480.949 -- 17,24% -- 15,74%
Petrolina-Juazeiro -------- 632.551 ----- 491.927 ----- 393.105 -- 28,59% -- 25,14%
Maringá ------------------- 630.202 ----- 475.860 ----- 390.839 -- 32,43% -- 21,75%
São José do Rio Preto ----- 599.775 ----- 502.494 ----- 439.186 -- 19,36% -- 14,41%
Macapá -------------------- 593.443 ----- 499.466 ----- 363.747 -- 18,82% -- 37,31%
Caxias do Sul ------------- 577.947 ----- 499.199 ----- 415.727 -- 15,77% -- 20,08%
Juiz de Fora -------------- 557.777 ----- 516.247 ----- 456.796 --- 8,04% -- 13,01%
Taubaté-Pindamonhangaba --- 528.333 ----- 466.665 ----- 405.014 -- 13,21% -- 15,22%
Blumenau ------------------ 507.762 ----- 421.846 ----- 348.416 -- 20,37% -- 21,08%
Growth collapsed in the majority of Brazilian metro areas. São Paulo, on the other hand, hung on and it's about to reach the 22 million mark. Metro areas around it such as Campinas, Santos, São José dos Campos, Sorocaba and Jundiaí are also growing fast and São Paulo Macrometropolitan Area reached 35 million inh.
|
Bringing more of Brazilian 2022 Census. Aside the expected population slowdown, we had very unexpected shifts. Domestic migration, after two decades of receeding, took a big jump, completely changing very well established dynamics:
---------------------- 2022 -------- 2010 -------- 2000 -------- 1991
Code:
BRASIL ---- 207.750.291 - 190.747.731 - 169.799.170 - 146.825.475 - 8,91% - 12,34% - 15,65%
Norte -------- 17.834.762 - 15.864.454 - 12.900.704 - 10.030.556 - 12,42% - 22,97% - 28,61%
Nordeste ----- 55.389.382 - 53.081.950 - 47.741.711 - 42.497.540 -- 4,35% - 11,19% - 12,34%
Centro-Oeste - 16.492.326 - 14.058.094 - 11.636.728 -- 9.427.601 - 17,32% - 20,81% - 23,43%
Sudeste ------ 87.348.223 - 80.364.410 - 72.412.411 - 62.740.401 -- 8,69% - 10,98% - 15,42%
Sul ---------- 30.685.598 - 27.386.891 - 25.107.616 - 22.129.377 - 12,04% -- 9,08% - 13,46%
- Making generalizations, basically North and Northeast are much poorer than national average and the other three much wealthier.
- North has always attracted migrants, specially from Northeast and has always had a much higher TFR than the rest of the country. They're clearly sending migrants now as the growth collapsed;
- Northeast supplied the Southeast, Centre-West and North with migrants since ever. São Paulo metro area, for instance, is like 40% Northeasterners (and descendants) that started to arrived in the 1960's, replacing the European immigration that was over. Those waves have stopped on the 1980's, but it seems it picked up again. Growth in Northeast collapsed as consequence;
- Centre-West is Brazilian farming frontier, responsible to make Brazil to overtake the US as world's farming biggest exporter. Still sparsely populated and remains a migrant magnet;
- Southeast is Brazilian industrial heart, 55% of Brazilian GDP and where the three largest metro areas are located. São Paulo keeps shining but Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais growth collapsed. Brazil has been under desindustrialization for the past 20 years and that doesn't help it.
- South was the biggest surprise. White, rich, aged, rural and has been always an emigration area (Southern farmers opened the Central-West from the 1980's). Now it seems the region has finally managed to become attractive to migrants and we're seen that on numbers, growing faster than the previous census period, something completely unexpected.
|
|
|