Quote:
Originally Posted by H2O
All good points. And to be honest, I was disappointed when Burnet did not get a higher rating for rail in Project Connect. Some of it may have been due to the duplication of the Red Line, but if you look at ridership, the 803 does not even do as well as the 300, 7 and 20! Q2 Stadium events did not seem to have made a meaningful impact either (except maybe July?). Most people I know prefer to take the Red Line to Q2, despite having last and first mile disadvantages and more crowding than the 803.
Not to divert, but can you explain the 300 ridership? It is not a route I think of as having high potential, and yet the ridership numbers are almost the same as the 801!
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The 300 is interesting. It's a surprisingly long route (I think a bit longer than the 803) and serves some important yet distinct arterials along the way.
It's basically the only E/W route on most of Oltorf, the only non UT route on much of PV, the only route on a big chunk of Springdale, only route on E 51st. Mostly the only route on St. Johns.
Compared to the 801 that has multiple routes (1, 803, etc.) for its entire length.
Those areas are also some of the last gentrifying parts of inner Austin and east Austin, so more transit dependence and ridership potential.
Because of that length, and its frequency, it's a pretty expensive route. 216 vehicle hours per weekday in October 2019 (to pick a pre-pandemic timeframe). $770k per month (again Oct 2019) slightly more than the cost of the 803, with a bit more ridership.
https://www.capmetro.org/dashboard/route-performance
It possibly won't exist in its current form once PC finishes. Will it continue running along PV even with the metrorapid there, or will the Oltorf segment be broken off and concentrate more on feeding into the orange line? What will the existence of the Orange and Blue lines do for ridership patterns in south Austin, etc.
Edit/Add: as for the 803, IMO it's the long term play. We ain't seen nothing yet as far as ridership there like it could be eventually. We've got the still in progress Domain and a pandemic year of Q2 with minimal extra events. There's a huge amount of underdeveloped land, beyond the stuff already in progress (Uptown, Verde Square, Domain south end, etc.), like the entire quadrant south of Pickle west of Burnet which is all industrial and warehouses so far (one apartment in progress). And then the huge ? of what (if anything) UT ever does with Pickle.
And that's just the section north of 183. The 803 corridor south of that is still going, Village/Northcross is begging for density (IMO), etc.