Posted Jun 5, 2023, 2:29 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Nov 2021
Posts: 252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PHLtoNYC
Good read, a shift in market conditions, but expected, and likely short term.
New apartments are flooding the Philadelphia market, slowing rampant rent increases
https://www.bizjournals.com/philadel...ncreasing.html
A perfect storm is creating a swell of new apartment inventory in Philadelphia, boosting the number of residential vacancies in the city and slowing rent increases.
In the first three months of this year, there were 1,583 new apartments delivered in the Philadelphia market, according to a CBRE report, and the average monthly rent per unit in the market was $1,682. There are also 25 projects with at least 100 units under construction in or around Center City which will deliver a combined 8,467 units when completed, per CBRE.
Last year, there were 5,853 new housing units delivered in Philadelphia, according to Center City District.
According to CBRE, the surge in apartment deliveries pushed the multifamily vacancy rate in the Philadelphia market up to 5.6% in the first quarter, up from around 3% to 4% in the first half of 2022 and on par with 2020 levels. The increase in inventory slowed year-over-year rent growth to 2.7%, well off the 11.5% jump the market posted in the first quarter of 2022.
“We are effectively now reverting back to the norm,” CBRE Senior Vice President Spencer Yablon said. Yablon views the market correction as healthy.
Yablon cautioned against calling the Philadelphia apartment market oversupplied. Though the number fluctuates even among industry sources, there’s a national housing shortage of roughly 3 million to 5 million homes, he said, and the surge of new supply in Philadelphia isn't expected to last.
“There is this fear that Philly is going to have this glut of apartments and people are going to have problems filling them up at the numbers that they projected them to,” Rushdy said. “That might happen in a very, very, very short term.”
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I think a rise in the vacancy rate is good, but I doubt it will be long-term. Anecdotally my friends who were renting in the burbs just moved back to NoLibs for various reasons. They want to buy in the burbs, but inventory is so tight in the best/closest/transit accessible suburbs that I doubt they leave Philly. I think as other metros become more expensive with less to offer, Philly will remain an attractive value proposition. Lastly, in my neighborhood E.Passyunk many of the rowhomes are being subdivided and getting additions due to the rental demand. The house two doors down finished conversion from SFH to multi-family two months ago and is fully occupied!
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