Bay Area Black Exodus Reversal or was it Exaggerated?

[dimondpark]

There has been a decade's worth of articles and stories about a mass exodus of Blacks from the Bay Area and California as a whole

So in response to a comment in another forum, I decided to look at Black population growth data for San Francisco and the 20 counties that surround it.

So we know that there has been a large number of Black households leave the region altogether but the greater regional Black population actually grew nonetheless.

1. I basically combined the Bay Area CSA and Sacramento CSA because the data shows clear interregional movement.

2. Northern California has the highest percentage of multiracial persons of any similarly sized corridor in the mainland United States(San Joaquin at 12% multiracial, ranks #1 in the mainland US among major metro counties), so I decided to use the "alone or in combination of one or more other races" stat.

3. There are declines in only 3 counties(Alameda, El Dorado and Marin), although in the case of the East Bay, Alameda lost 4,000 but Contra Costa gained 8,000 so that's a net gain for the region.

4. Santa Clara's Black population grew by 12%, this is the same Santa Clara county with the $1.6 million median home price.

5. Placer County, wealthiest non-coastal county in California and suburb of Sacramento, saw a 44% increase in it's Black population---I am fairly certain most of those are upper income Black households from the Bay Area.

6. Nevada County, in the Sierras, saw their Black population double.

7. Santa Cruz County, on the coast, saw their Black population grow by nearly 60%.

8. San Francisco itself saw modest growth as well.

9. Sacramento County will probably surpass Alameda County soon as the largest county concentration of Blacks in Northern Calfornia.

Those are some of my observations, here is the data

BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN ALONE OR IN COMBINATION WITH ONE OR MORE OTHER RACES

2010................County..................2019...........Percent/Numerical Change
211,238.........Alameda.............. 206,411............-2.2%.....-4,827
114,137......... Contra Costa.......122,215...........+7.0%....+8,078
3,127..............El Dorado...............2,627...........-15.9%.......-500
9,711..............Marin.....................8,592...........-11.5%....-1,119
11,024............Merced..................11,919...........+8.1%.......+895
3,421..............Napa......................3,800...........+11.0%.....+379
512.................Nevada..................1,208..........+135.9%....+696
7,030..............Placer...................10,193...........+44.9%..+3,163
178,445..........Sacramento.........191,752............+7.4%..+13,307
830.................San Benito................937...........+12.8%.....+107
55,405............San Francisco........56,089.............+1.2%.....+684
61,722............San Joaquin...........66,960.............+8.0%..+4,968
25,348............San Mateo.............25,939.............+2.3%......+591
57,869............Santa Clara............64,718............+11.8%..+6,849
3,749..............Santa Cruz..............5,889............+57.0%..+2,140
72,504.............Solano..................73,892.............+1.9%...+1,388
11,131.............Sonoma................13,563...........+21.8%..+2,432
18,956.............Stanislaus..............20,442.............+7.8%..+1,456
2,638...............Sutter.....................3,472...........+31.6%.....+834
7,192...............Yolo........................8,009...........+11.3%....+817
3,095...............Yuba.......................4,264...........+27.4%..+1,169
859,082...Bay Area-Sacramento.. 902,891........,+5.0%..+43,809

Source: US Census Bureau

[Crawford]

I mean, Sacramento isn't the Bay Area.

It appears the Bay Area slightly gained AA residents, but mostly on the fringe.

[mrnyc]

that's it.

that's the place.

i'm moving to yolo.

[dimondpark]

Originally Posted by mrnyc

that's it.

that's the place.

i'm moving to yolo.

LOL Davis is actually a really nice place to live.

Anyhow, this is peripheral data that I think I'll just put here instead of creating another thread as I already mentioned this in this one.

California in bold

Selected US Counties by Percentage of Biracial or Multiracial Persons, 2019
Hawaii, HI: 29.2%
Kauai, HI: 25.6%
Maui, HI: 21.1%
Honolulu, HI: 20.2%
Comanche, OK: 11.9%
San Joaquin, CA: 11.7%
Anchorage, AK: 9.1%
Tulsa, OK: 8.9%
Pierce, WA: 8.7%
Suffolk, MA: 8.0%
Solano, CA 7.1%
Sacramento, CA 6.5%
King, WA: 6.3%
Alameda, CA: 6.3%
Contra Costa, CA: 6.3%
Snohomish, WA: 6.0%
Oklahoma, OK: 5.8%
Multnomah, OR: 5.8%
San Francisco, CA: 5.7%
San Diego, CA: 5.6%
Prince William, VA: 5.4%
Bell, TX: 5.4%
San Bernardino, CA: 5.3%
Santa Clara, CA: 5.3%
San Mateo, CA: 5.2%
Yolo, CA: 5.2%
Washington, OR: 5.2%
Loudoun, VA: 5.2%
Providence, RI: 5.2%
Clark, NV: 5.1%
Sedgewick, KS: 5.1%
Howard, MD: 4.9%
Hartford, CT: 4.8%
Arapahoe, CO: 4.7%
Ventura, CA: 4.6%
Bernalillo, NM: 4.6%
Denver, CO: 4.5%
Ramsey, MN: 4.5%
Riverside, CA: 4.4%
Wyandotte, KS: 4.4%
Hudson, NJ: 4.4%
Bronx, NY: 4.4%
Hennepin, MN: 4.3%
Montgomery, MD: 4.3%
Orange, CA: 4.2%
Fairfax, VA: 4.2%
Los Angeles, CA: 4.1%
Williamson, TX: 4.1%
Stanislaus, CA: 4.1%
New York, NY: 4.0%
Travis, TX: 4.0%
Fresno, CA: 4.0%
Fort Bend, TX: 4.0%
McLennan, TX: 4.0%
Bexar, TX: 3.9%
Denton, TX: 3.9%
Arlington, VA: 3.9%
Queens, NY: 3.9%
Milwaukee, WI: 3.8%
Orange, FL: 3.8%
Hillsborough, FL: 3.7%
Franklin, OH: 3.7%
Middlesex, NJ: 3.6%
New Haven, CT: 3.6%
Salt Lake, UT: 3.6%
Gwinnett, GA: 3.6%
Maricopa, AZ: 3.6%
Pinellas, FL: 3.6%
Broward, FL: 3.5%
Hamilton, OH: 3.5%
Fairfield, CT: 3.5%
Marion, IN: 3.4%
Kings, NY: 3.4%
Nassau, NY: 3.4%
DuPage, IL: 3.3%
Lake, IL: 3.3%
Will, IL: 3.3%
Durham, NC: 3.3%
Mecklenburg, NC: 3.3%
Philadelphia, PA: 3.3%
Middlesex, MA: 3.3%
Bergen, NJ: 3.2%
Jefferson, CO: 3.2%
Johnson, KS: 3.2%
Union, NJ: 3.1%
Essex, NJ: 3.1%
Tarrant, TX: 3.1%
Collin, TX: 3.1%
New Castle, DE: 3.1%
Norfolk, MA: 3.1%
Monroe, NY: 3.1%
Westchester, NY: 3.0%
Cobb, GA: 3.0%
Cuyahoga, OH: 3.0%
Allegheny, PA: 3.0%
Brazos, TX: 2.9%
Palm Beach, FL: 2.8%
Rockland, NY: 2.8%
El Paso, TX: 2.8%
Lake, IL: 2.7%
Baltimore, MD: 2.7%
Montgomery, PA: 2.7%
Essex, MA: 2.7%
Cook, IL: 2.6%
Harris, TX: 2.6%
Dallas, TX: 2.6%
Wayne, MI: 2.6%
Oakland, MI: 2.6%
DeKalb, GA: 2.5%
St. Louis, MO: 2.5%
Wake, NC: 2.5%
Fulton, GA: 2.4%
Jefferson, KY: 2.4%
Davidson, TN: 2.4%
Suffolk, NY: 2.3%
Richmond, NY: 2.1%
Passaic, NJ: 2.1%
Jefferson, LA: 2.1%
Potter, TX: 2.1%
Hidalgo, TX: 2.0%
Miami-Dade, FL: 1.9%
Brazoria, TX: 1.8%
Lee, FL: 1.8%
Jefferson, TX: 1.3%

[dimondpark]

Originally Posted by Crawford

I mean, Sacramento isn't the Bay Area.

It appears the Bay Area slightly gained AA residents, but mostly on the fringe.

The point is the movement between the 2 areas is quite pronounced, AND the fact that overall there was growth despite the perceived mass exodus which I believe occurred to a degree, but not nearly as great as the media portrayed it to be.

[mrnyc]

hmm, i didn't realize the big island was all one county.