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Originally Posted by Quixote
I realize that a one-seat ride to everywhere isn't possible, but that's not what I was arguing for in the first place.
But we can optimize ridership appeal/potential by creating as many one-seat rides between important nodal entities as logistically possible. Tell me that there isn't extra value in having LAX, City of Champions, Expo Park, MacArthur Park, Echo Park, and Glendale all served by a single rail line?
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It's a fallacy. What is the extra value in serving those destinations via a single line when half of them are served by other rail lines already? For instance, the route that you proposed is 15 miles of new subway. Billions of dollars for a route that, as far as I can tell, does not serve a defined travel pattern. Would it optimize Glendale to LAX travel? Probably yes. Is that worth $8 billion? Probably not, because it probably just isn't a strong corridor to begin with. On the other hand, if you live along this line and you are working in Hollywood, or Downtown, or on the westside, then you would be transferring to the Red or Purple Line at Macarthur Park. Probably the majority of people riding this line would be transferring. Which leads into the next point.
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As important as the Wilshire corridor is, the Purple Line probably won't generate enough ridership to absolutely necessitate 2-minute headways unlike in, say, Hong Kong. Perhaps additional capacity could be created by switching to longitudinal seating.
I think you're also underestimating the value of Hollywood and the SFV (population 2 million) as major ridership generators by so readily giving Wilshire priority and dismissing the elimination of the current one-seat ride service pattern as "survivable." Can the Purple Line not get by on 4-minute headways?
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This is about future-proofing. If the Red and Purple Line are not decoupled, 4 minutes is the best possible frequency that the line can have without resorting to unbalanced headways on the branches, another operational headache.
You don't need to be Hong Kong to want to maximize service on your strongest route. Use San Francisco as an example again. During peak hours, there is a train coming every minute on Market. The Purple Line has more jobs located along its route than any other conceivable route in Los Angeles, that's why we're going to build so many transfers to it.
I'm not underestimating Hollywood or the San Fernando Valley, but I do think that you're overestimating the strength of the specifically Valley to DTLA travel pattern if you think that it deserves to share capacity with the Wilshire Corridor. There are 2 million people in the valley, but that's not relevant if they're not headed downtown. Lots of people get on the Red Line north of Wilshire (I'm one), they're not all headed downtown though.
We're building the Sepulveda Line and the Crenshaw Line, both of which will allow Valley riders to self-sort according to their destination. So some Valley people will transfer at Van Nuys, and go straight to Westwood, some Valley people will transfer at Highland and go straight to Fairfax, etc. And some will continue to travel into DTLA. But I absolutely think the share of people who would benefit from a one-seat ride from NoHo to DTLA is dwarfed by the number of people who will be utilizing the Purple Line .