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  #9141  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 2:16 AM
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NYC2ATX NYC2ATX is offline
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Originally Posted by ohhey View Post
The money would be better spent completely redesigning and expanding the bus system. The train won't really work without a good bus system to get people to/from the 90+ percent of the city not served by rail. Get the bus system right first, and rail becomes a much better value proposition... Increase bus frequency, upgrade equipment, improve bus stops, add more park and ride locations, create more dedicated bus lanes, etc. I know some of this is being planned, but it's clearly not the top priority.
talk about something that will make ZERO difference lol. Any first segment of any transit system is always about proof of concept to a skeptical populous. Once people see this running, use it and like it, they will eventually demand more of it.

The no-build option is the thing that will relegate Austin to backwater car-dependent sprawl until someone else gets a ballot measure rolling in 15 more years or so.
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  #9142  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 3:31 AM
urbancore urbancore is online now
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Originally Posted by NYC2ATX View Post
talk about something that will make ZERO difference lol. Any first segment of any transit system is always about proof of concept to a skeptical populous. Once people see this running, use it and like it, they will eventually demand more of it.

The no-build option is the thing that will relegate Austin to backwater car-dependent sprawl until someone else gets a ballot measure rolling in 15 more years or so.
How much is “proof of concept” worth? Isn’t that money better spent on housing homeless, or education, or how about health care? How do you measure the extent rail in Austin will slow/end car dependent sprawl? You can’t.

Our zoning laws have already relegated us to suburban sprawl.

Is it ethical to force poor people who live no where near the rail or future rail, to pay more taxes for UT students to get downtown or to the airport? And if it is, how much is too much?

All these questions will be ignored of course, because most rail opinions are based on feelings, facts be damned.

Buses > Rail
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  #9143  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 4:41 AM
valhalla valhalla is offline
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Originally Posted by urbancore View Post

Buses > Rail
This is far too oversimplified. Buses and rail each have their advantages. Light-rail travels faster than buses and even surface rail is generally timed to bypass traffic and streetlights. Of course, light-rail is fixed, and so buses are able to reach the areas not covered by rail. They each have a time and a place. Neither one is categorically better than the other.

From looking at every city with light rail, demand generally clusters around rail stops. Yes, I'm talking about "if you build it, they will come." The "they" is not just riders but developers and businesses. Go to NY, Chicago, or DC and almost all of the new development districts are crowded around the rail stops. True density doesn't happen by accident--it happens because cites first build the necessary infrastructure to make density possible.
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  #9144  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 12:02 PM
Novacek Novacek is offline
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Originally Posted by ohhey View Post
Increase bus frequency, upgrade equipment, improve bus stops, add more park and ride locations, create more dedicated bus lanes, etc. I know some of this is being planned, but it's clearly not the top priority.
The current metrorapids are probably at the limit of what frequency you can run, and already run into operational issues. They get stuck in traffic and bunch up, so their effective frequency drops.

And CapMetro is already having issues hiring/retaining enough bus drivers. That's one of the downsides of a significant BRT system option, it has higher manpower requirements than rail.

More dedicated lanes is also a significant capital expense. A huge chunk of the light rail cost is acquiring RoW for its dedicated tracks. Doing the same thing as dedicated BRT lanes isn't going to end up as cheap as you might think.

The numbers change of course if you're willing to significantly cut down on existing travel lanes.
I don't think Austin is willing to do that, and council/CM always seems to assume so as well.
There's enough pushback on lane reductions on a short section of guadalupe, where demand is highest and they can effectively turn Nueces into an alternative route. Taking half the lanes on Lamar all the way to NLTC (and beyond) isn't a fight they want to take on.
And of course, the same thing applies to light rail. If Austin was willing to give up lanes, we'd have much cheaper rail.
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  #9145  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 12:12 PM
Novacek Novacek is offline
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Originally Posted by valhalla View Post
5 billion dollars for 10 miles of rail?? Can someone please explain to me how light rail can cost 500 million dollars per mile? I'm not being facetious, like I would honestly appreciate an explanation. I want to see light rail in austin more than anything but these numbers make it look like officials are skimming more off the top than a Zairian kleptocracy.
1. Inflation has been high the past couple of years (historically high, highest in almost 40 years). It's expected that will continue for a while, and ATP has to plan as if it will. Construction won't start for years, so this will continue to compound.

Worse, the inflation number you're used to seeing is the consumer price index. Costs for construction or materials can be even higher.


2. Interest rates are high, so the cost of debt financing has increased.

3. It's a tight labor market. Everywhere, but especially in Austin for construction labor. The construction of the rail will be competing with all sorts of other projects, including TxDot's I35 expansion.

4. Property costs in Austin have increased significantly, increasing the costs for all the property that needs to be acquired for right of way, park and rides, and the maintenance yard. It's also a bit of a vicious cycle, as decreasing the line length has forced the later two elements to move further into the city, increasing their costs.

5. The 5B number includes a huge 40% contingency, which the FTA is now requiring/heavily suggesting. Which means, to their best estimates, it's "only" a 3.5B system.

6. Several of the costs don't (or imperfectly) scale with mileage (that maintenance yard, buying trains, etc.) so a per-mile cost can be misleading. As the length has had to be cut back, those costs become a greater percentage of the total.
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  #9146  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 2:05 PM
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ahealy ahealy is offline
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Real question: what would it cost to create a bus system like that of London? I just got back and Jesus that was so fking easy and amazing. I don't understand why America doesn't have double decker buses. I believe the new ones are electric and to board all you needed was contactless payment from your phone.

Don't get me started on the tube. That will never happen here. But yeah, could we feasibly have double decker buses everywhere?
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  #9147  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 3:10 PM
Novacek Novacek is offline
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Originally Posted by ahealy View Post
Real question: what would it cost to create a bus system like that of London? I just got back and Jesus that was so fking easy and amazing. I don't understand why America doesn't have double decker buses. I believe the new ones are electric and to board all you needed was contactless payment from your phone.

Don't get me started on the tube. That will never happen here. But yeah, could we feasibly have double decker buses everywhere?
It's probably not worth it here. We can use longer (bendy) buses instead.

We have wider streets, and can accommodate wider turning radiuses.

The bendy buses have better accessibility and faster boarding too.
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  #9148  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 4:56 PM
urbancore urbancore is online now
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Originally Posted by Novacek View Post
It's probably not worth it here. We can use longer (bendy) buses instead.

We have wider streets, and can accommodate wider turning radiuses.

The bendy buses have better accessibility and faster boarding too.
But bendy buses aren’t cool. Riders aren’t going to take photos of them for social media. Make it a double decker bus with a distinctive paint job……now we are cooking with gas.

Why don’t we at least bring back “the Dillo”? Why did get we rid of it? Was it that nobody used it?
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  #9149  
Old Posted Jun 2, 2023, 6:08 PM
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Maximusx1 Maximusx1 is offline
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Originally Posted by urbancore View Post
But bendy buses aren’t cool. Riders aren’t going to take photos of them for social media. Make it a double decker bus with a distinctive paint job……now we are cooking with gas.

Why don’t we at least bring back “the Dillo”? Why did get we rid of it? Was it that nobody used it?
Ok now I can agree with this. Bring back the Dillo!

Circulate drunks and tourists from 5th, 6th and Rainey:
East down 5th Street from Campbell to San Jacinto to Cesar Chavez to Red River to Driskill to Rainey to River/Holly to San Marcos to 5th Street to Chicon to Sixth Street west all the way back down to Campbell.

Keeps tourists and drunks from driving, scootering and taking short uber rides.
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