Quote:
Originally Posted by Pedestrian
Almost no one fits that mold. The tax benefits and inflation protection of hard assets like property are too powerful. The supply/demand quotient of property in a country with an inexorable rise in population and a limited "liebensraum" is hard to beat anywhere else including the stock market where you may have individual spectacular winners but its very hard to average a hand better than real estate with a portfolio comparable in size to the typical house. And in an era of "tax the rich" mentality, the differential between what government does for homeowners and what it tries to take from owners mainly invested in other assets is likely to get worse.
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In the Bay Area, yeah, RE has been an unabashed long-term winning investment strategy. In much of the country, no.
My parents bought their home for around 160k in the 80's, and they might be able to sell it for 550-575k now. That's basically keeping up with inflation, all while paying very high property taxes and utilities (plus high upkeep; it's a vintage house). If they put that money in a Vanguard fund it would be, what, $3-4 million?
And there's nothing wrong with their community. It's affluent, safe, quiet, and with arguably the best public schools in the state. It's probably a nicer community now than back when they bought. Much of it looks like a Midwest version of Burlingame, or any nice Peninsula town. But Michigan has flat population growth, and no restrictions on development, so RE doesn't appreciate, really.