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Originally Posted by 202_Cyclist
I have said this before but I am very mixed about this extension past Dulles. I fully support the extension to Tysons, Reston, and Dulles but I don't see the value of spending $1B - $2B to build this past Dulles. I understand that billions of dollars have already been spent in the expectation of the complete Phase II of the Silver Line and that complex financing agreements might have been jeopardized if Loudon County opposed this.
There are huge unmet capacity needs in the inner counties and the region's core that WMATA should be focused on instead of spending another one or two billion dollars to extend the Silver Line and have stations be surrounded by huge parking garages low/medium-density suburban town centers.
In Northern Virginia alone, the streetcar on Columbia Pike in Arlington, the streetcar connecting Arlington and Alexandria, the Potomac Yards metro station, investments towards high speed rail for the DC - Richmond corridor would have all been better investments than building the Silver line past Dulles.
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Only a part of the funding going to Phase 2 would have been available to other transit projects in Northern Virginia. There is no federal contribution for Phase 2; the federal contribution was $900 million for Phase 1 only. The funding for Phase 2 is coming from MWAA drawing on increased tolls from the Dulles Toll Road (54% of Phase 2 funding), MWAA aviation funds ($230 million), Fairfax County (~$500 million), Loudoun (~$270 million), Virginia ($150 million if I understand Phase 1 versus 2 funding breakdown). Fairfax and Loudoun will also be paying for the parking garages at the Phase 2 stations separately ($404 million! Big parking garages are expensive), but not having followed that part much, I would expect the parking garages will be paid for by municipal bonds to be paid off by (projected) parking revenue.
MWAA and Loudoun would not be contributing to streetcar or Potomac Yard projects in Arlington and Alexandria. The airport authority is paying for over 1/2 of the cost of the Silver Line by dinging the Dulles Toll road drivers. Fairfax would likely only contribute to street car projects that extended into Fairfax or Metro improvements that benefit Fairfax. The only parts of the Silver Line funds that might have gone to other DC Metro projects, streetcar projects, upgrades to the RF&P line to Richmond would be the Virginia, maybe part of the Fairfax contributions. The $900 million of federal transit funds would have gone to another transit project elsewhere in the country.
So the Silver Line is not really taking that much funding away from other transit projects in the DC region. The VA DRPT transit six year budget plan has $189 million for the Columbia Pike streetcar and $103 million for the Pentagon City-Crystal City-Potomac Yards transitway/streetcar. The Potomac Yards infill station is supposed to be mainly paid for by the PY developers. Those projects look to have most of their funding lined up regardless of the Silver Line costs.
The DC to Richmond rail corridor got federal HSIPR funding for Tier II EIS and preliminary engineering studies. The reason it did not get more of the $10.1 billion of high speed and intercity passenger rail funds is that the engineering analysis and design work was not ready for the big construction grants.
What the Silver Line project and the current multi-billion 6 year maintenance & repair push may do is create fatigue in planning and getting funding for the next stages in Metro expansions. Whether it is an expensive re-route of the Blue Line through Georgetown to M street to Union Station or extending either the Orange, Blue, Yellow, or Green Lines. Many of the political leaders and media types may want to postpone any serious discussions or first level engineering studies of Metro expansion until after the Silver Line and the big maintenance project are completed and maybe not until after the Purple Line is in advanced construction. If Orange Crush becomes the Rosslyn deep crush, well, they'll fix it eventually - in 15-25 years. We shall see.