Quote:
Originally Posted by Crawford
I don't think it's anything like LA. If I took LA County's HNWI and looked at the share west or east of downtown, it would probably be 90-10 west. The wealth is hugely lopsided. And I'm accounting for places like La Canada Flintridge as east. If you did the same in an equivalent radius in NY, it would be approaching a near even-split.
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There's billionaires, UHNWIs, HNWIs (let's say 10-29 million), and households with six-figure incomes. Each of these dimensions, I think, wouldn't be consistent across any metro area, including NYC. As you move more and more towards the billionaire end of the spectrum, you'll likely see Greenwich and the Hamptons overly represented. However, if your standard is counties with median household incomes of $100,000 or more, then you have total geographic equilibrium. This is why I mentioned distinguishing between certain types of wealth.
Regarding LA, I think a large part of this is simply due to LA having a relatively underdeveloped economy compared to NYC and the Bay Area — hence less wealth. The wealth would most likely be STEM-based (as opposed to finance) and presumably result in larger Chinese, Indian, and white populations. SFV, SGV, Gateway Cities, and north OC would be less Latino. But to be honest, "favored quarter" as determined through the lens of cachet, is still largely dictated by whiteness. Even the large Chinese and Indian populations living in Cupertino and Fremont, respectively, are by and large not part of the elite, well-connected class that runs Silicon Valley. They're more likely to be the engineers coding things, not the ones meeting with investors.
There's also geographical factors that come into play. Manhattan is in the center of the metro area both physically and population-wise:
East: 8,063,232 million (Brooklyn, Queens, Long Island)
West/south: 7,857,219 million (North/Central Jersey, Staten Island, Pike County, PA)
North: 5,799,620 (The Bronx, Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Ulster, Putnam, Dutchess, Fairfield, New Haven, Litchfield)
Bergen County is mostly north of Manhattan, even more so if you want to cut Manhattan off at 96th Street. If you move it to the north group, then you have something closer to:
East: 8.06 million
West/south: 6.91 million
North: 6.76 million
In both LA and the Bay Area, climate makes coastal-proximate communities more desirable. If you were to do that HNWI test for the Bay Area, I bet it'd be pretty lopsided to the west. It's not just the SF peninsula vs. the East Bay either. Western Santa Clara County is seen as much more desirable than the eastern half. Also add in Marin County. There's no question which side "wins."