Quote:
Originally Posted by JDRCRASH
Has anybody suggested HSR to L.A. yet? Amtrak doesn't go through this area anymore.
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I'm going to go ahead and disagree with everyone. I think HSR to LA would be nice, but I don't see it happening anywhere in the near future. Phoenix obviously has a large population, but there's a whole lot of nothing between here and LA. The HSR corridors that are being proposed that will actually get built (the California and some of the midwest lines) have large population centers at the end of the lines AND a large population all along the line. Phoenix-LA may be a better route than the Gulf Coast line (for example), but at that point we're just arguing for a pretty line on a map because I really don't see a lot of that map outside California, the northeast, and the midwest getting built anytime soon either.
Also, I think looking at how many planes there are or how "packed" they are is a bad tool for measuring demand. First of all, all planes should be pretty packed no matter where they're going, airlines will cut frequencies or use smaller planes if they're not because otherwise they're losing money. A lot of people do travel between LA and Phoenix, but how many are traveling from LA to Phoenix (or vice verse). Phoenix is a hub for both US Airways and Southwest, and I would bet that a majority of those people are merely connecting through Phoenix. People are not going to fly to/from Phoenix and finish there trip on HSR to/from LA.
Finally, let's say I'm wrong and there really are enough people traveling from Phoenix to LA to justify HSR. Sky Harbor is nowhere near capacity and there is plenty of room for the airlines to increase capacity. The reason the LA to San Francisco HSR is so appealing is because it's one of the most heavily traveled routes in the country AND the airlines are near capacity. The question there is whether it would be better to build HSR or more airports; not doing anything isn't really a long term option. For Phoenix-LA the question will be whether it is better to invest tens of billions in HSR or to do nothing and continue business as usual.
The final, obvious reason why HSR isn't going to be built in Arizona in the near future is that there's just no way politically. The majority of Arizonans would rather have a few dollars in their pocket than pay a few hundred million for basic education, and you think they'll want to pay tens of billions for a train line along a route that's not particularly congested in the air or just driving? There's hope for transit in Phoenix because it doesn't rely on state funding, and there might even be hope for a rail line from Tucson to Phoenix for the same reason. But a train cutting across the entire state will require support from the entire state and I just don't see that happening in my lifetime.
All that being said, it's absolutely ridiculous that Amtrak doesn't even come through Phoenix (no, Maricopa does not count). I see no reason why some of the rail funding package can't go towards reopening and improving the conventional rail line between here and LA.