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Originally Posted by west-town-brad
39 single family lots, at $600,000 per which is the going rate in this area for 125x25, gets you to a base value of about $23 million. Add some premium for it being continuous and you can easily get to $25 million based on building single family homes. BUT WAIT, it's zoned RT-4 so you can also build 3 flats as of right so the value of the dirt is even higher. Given the current zoning, any community meeting or feedback process is nonsense in this situation and a waste of time.
You start setting aside portions of this land for various nonsense reasons and you have to cut down the price. The catholic church is not going to take a hit on the value of this asset they are cashing out, that's for sure. They have shown this time after time no matter if it's a downtown prime location (their parking lot that is now One Chicago) or various churches they have closed and sold off around areas like Pilsen.
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The Archdiocese doesn't control the land like your examples, the Sisters of Christian Charity do and I believe they act independently.
You could build 39 3-flats covering the site, or a 117-unit midrise that preserves some open space and preserves the school. But the midrise option requires a PD, which then requires a planning review process and community meetings. Alternatively, you could strip the school down to its frame and reclad it as a luxury building, but you'd still need the PD for that part of the site if the number of units is higher than 30.
Basically, a buyer looking to build 39 3-flats will be the low bidder. There will be higher bidders, but they will need a PD/zoning change and they will likely ask for a zoning contingency on the sale. If Sisters of Charity want quick cash, they will sell to the 3-flats guy (Noah Properties, North Clybourn Group, etc). If they want top dollar, they will sell to a higher-end developer who wants to do something more complex.