Quote:
Originally Posted by twister244
While I would love to see these numbers go up for both cities.... I only want them to go up to a degree. I think Chicago can manage a healthy level of growth over the next decade whereby housing supply can meet demand. Obviously the same can be said for Detroit I suspect. I just don't wan the hyper growth you see in cities like Austin and Denver. There is definitely a happy middle to achieve with population growth. Honestly, I think Chicago is not far from that now with the level of growth and new construction in the city. Plenty of land to develop on, and no shortage housing for folks who want to own.
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for sure! too much of a good thing often comes around and bites back at you as a bad thing.
creamy middles are usually pretty alright places to be. but chicagoland and metro detroit are not really middling on growth relative to their peers these days. of the 18 MSAs over 3M people, they ranked dead last and 2nd to dead last, respectively, in MSA growth for 2010 - 2020. (surprisingly, or not, LA was 3rd to last on that score)
that said, both chicagoland and metro detroit are already sprawled out to hell and back. more growth would be great to see in both, but neither need any more sprawl at this point. i'm hoping that this is the decade when the city of detroit finally bottoms out and pulls itself into the positive column. like chicago, it's fighting a massive black flight hole to climb out of, but chicago did it last decade with strong growth from other macro-demos, so maybe detroit can make the same turn this decade. the early trend lines are already there with all of the macro-demos other than blacks showing growth last decade, and, like chicago, detroit roughly halved its black flight from the '00s (
-185,393). so if it can halve its black flight again, and double its growth in the other groups, it might just pull it off!
city of detroit 2010 - 2020:
NH black:
-93,361
NH white: +5,166
NH asian: +2,678
NH other: +8,261
hispanic: +2,590
total: -74,666
(if you take away the black flight number, the others add up to 21,790)
chicago's 2010 - 2020 results for comparison:
NH black:
-84,735
NH white: +8,905
NH asian: +44,926
NH other: +41,038
hispanic: +40,656
total: +50,790
(if you take away the black flight number, the others add up to 135,525)