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View Poll Results: Do you think DFW will reach:11 million
11 million 26 42.62%
14 million 15 24.59%
Neither, another amount 20 32.79%
Voters: 61. You may not vote on this poll

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  #21  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 3:13 PM
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Originally Posted by Dariusb View Post
Parker County which includes the city of Weatherford.

Weatherford has always stuck in my mind because a waitress at a diner there stuck a menu in my eye when I was a kid.
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  #22  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 3:51 PM
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I never realized how large Dallas-Fort Worth was..I assumed it was hovering around the 6.o million mark, and not 8.0 million!

Look out Chicago! They are gunning for you, but you'll always be "Second city" in people's hearts.
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  #23  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 4:07 PM
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Originally Posted by homebucket View Post
I agree with Yuri's estimates.

DFW will continue to grow, but I think growth rates will slow significantly as it becomes more and more expensive to live there.
And on top of becoming a big, complicated, expensive city, the US as a whole will grow much slower, so US metro areas including Dallas will slow down as well.
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  #24  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 4:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Razor View Post
Look out Chicago! They are gunning for you, but you'll always be "Second city" in people's hearts.
I'm actually dreading the day Houston proper's population surpasses that of Chicago proper's. I know how the media in Houston will react and it's going to be an embarrassment...to me at least. There is just no way Houston will be in any way, other than technically, larger than Chicago. It will be similar to how San Antonio is technically larger than Dallas.
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  #25  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 4:22 PM
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will Winnipeg hit a population as high as 300 million?
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  #26  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 4:28 PM
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Originally Posted by MolsonExport View Post
will Winnipeg hit a population as high as 300 million?
I hear Nunavut is going to be the next Florida.
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  #27  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 4:38 PM
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Originally Posted by bilbao58 View Post
Weatherford has always stuck in my mind because a waitress at a diner there stuck a menu in my eye when I was a kid.
So, Weatherford has aways stuck in your mind’s … eye.
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HTOWN: 2305k (+10%) + MSA suburbs: 4818k (+26%) + CSA exurbs: 190k (+6%)
BIGD: 1304k (+9%) + MSA div. suburbs: 3826k (+26%) + adj. CSA exurbs: 394k (+8%)
FTW: 919k (+24%) + MSA div. suburbs: 1589k (+14%) + adj. CSA exurbs: 90k (+12%)
SATX: 1435k (+8%) + MSA suburbs: 1124k (+38%) + CSA exurbs: 18k (+11%)
ATX: 962k (+22%) + MSA suburbs: 1322k (+43%)
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  #28  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 4:57 PM
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Originally Posted by wwmiv View Post
So, Weatherford has aways stuck in your mind’s … eye.
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  #29  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 5:34 PM
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Originally Posted by MolsonExport View Post
will Winnipeg hit a population as high as 300 million?
Let us know when it happens, lol!
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  #30  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 5:35 PM
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Originally Posted by bilbao58 View Post
Weatherford has always stuck in my mind because a waitress at a diner there stuck a menu in my eye when I was a kid.
Ouch! I flinched reading that.
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  #31  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 6:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Dariusb View Post
Ouch! I flinched reading that.
The funniest part for my family was that waitstaff usually didn't give me a menu at all which was a major peeve for my young self. The one time I finally get a menu the corner of it poked me in the eye.

Last edited by bilbao58; Oct 20, 2021 at 6:41 PM.
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  #32  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 6:54 PM
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Originally Posted by mhays View Post
There's a huge gap between less-good, uncomfortable, and uninhabitable. Cities can have big headwinds between the first two, and somewhere between the last two would be disastrous.
Yes, but we still have a long way even for that to happen. The climate is certainly changing (for the worst) but it's also being sensationalized about the time horizon and the magnitude. I just don't foresee Dallas plunging into a Mad Max type of dystopia anytime soon and by then we'll probably developed technologies to mitigate worst case scenarios.
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  #33  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 7:56 PM
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I don't think anything major needs to happen to reduce today's migration patterns. If the upper Midwest gets a little more comfortable, the hot places get a little hotter and riskier...
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  #34  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 8:37 PM
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Originally Posted by mhays View Post
I don't think anything major needs to happen to reduce today's migration patterns. If the upper Midwest gets a little more comfortable, the hot places get a little hotter and riskier...
That doesn't explain migrations right now to places with already relatively hostile climates; Florida, Texas, Arizona, Georgia, etc. People are going to move where economic activity and afforabity is. The Midwest would have to leverage a more temperate climate with economic opportunity. Chicago, Detroit, MPLS and the big OH cities for example. Otherwise the most economically prosperous areas are those within regions with extreme weather or geological activity.
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  #35  
Old Posted Oct 20, 2021, 10:30 PM
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I think that the Bay Area has the most to gain from GW. It is nice and sunny (except SF proper) and just a little too chilly to be the premiere destination in California.
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  #36  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2021, 1:00 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mhays View Post
Reduced birth rates in the US might play a big role here, particularly if we don't expand immigration beyond typical levels.

The US and world are also seeing lower birth rates. Climate change moves could offset that for some areas, but will those numbers be large enough in the timeframe we're talking about?
agree here, wonder what texas birth rates are though.
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  #37  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2021, 1:16 AM
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agree here, wonder what texas birth rates are though.
https://www.marchofdimes.org/perista...&eny=2019&chy=

Higher than the national average, but also falling faster. Some combo of reversion to the mean, starting from a higher baseline, and demographic changes within state vis-a-vis nationally is likely the cause of this
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HTOWN: 2305k (+10%) + MSA suburbs: 4818k (+26%) + CSA exurbs: 190k (+6%)
BIGD: 1304k (+9%) + MSA div. suburbs: 3826k (+26%) + adj. CSA exurbs: 394k (+8%)
FTW: 919k (+24%) + MSA div. suburbs: 1589k (+14%) + adj. CSA exurbs: 90k (+12%)
SATX: 1435k (+8%) + MSA suburbs: 1124k (+38%) + CSA exurbs: 18k (+11%)
ATX: 962k (+22%) + MSA suburbs: 1322k (+43%)
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  #38  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2021, 1:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dariusb View Post
On the Fort Worth side, one of the fastest growing counties(outside of the core counties you've already mentioned) is Parker County which includes the city of Weatherford. I know the area south of Dallas doesn't look to be growing much. The county south of Fort Worth, Johnson County, is growing at a decent rate.
The Weatherford area and going into Palo Pinto County and points West is such a pretty landscape. I could see that area continuing to become more popular.
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  #39  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2021, 5:22 AM
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Originally Posted by R1070 View Post
The Weatherford area and going into Palo Pinto County and points West is such a pretty landscape. I could see that area continuing to become more popular.
I agree.
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  #40  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2021, 7:37 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dariusb View Post
Yeah, DFW's CSA already includes Bryan County, OK. I live in the Killeen/Temple area and we're about an hour or so north of Austin and some people who can't afford Austin have moved here. There was a YouTube video where this economist said that he thinks the area between Waco, Killeen/Temple, Austin and San Antonio could fill in and be connected. I guess it could happen but not sure if it would in my lifetime. I'm 43 now.
Its becoming more noticeable over years. The amount of development and population between these cities are growing at a staggering rate.
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