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Originally Posted by phil235
Well, there was one between the Devils and Islanders, neither of which come remotely close to selling out on a regular basis. And neither Buffalo or St. Louis are guaranteed sell outs either.
I'm not sure where you would get the idea that the Sens don't want this game. Every report on the possibility notes that they are the ones pursuing it. Why? Because the game is a big money maker for the team. If the Sens weren't confident that they were going to make money, they a) wouldn't be pursuing the game and b) definitely wouldn't have been pursuing it at a location that required millions in extra infrastructure investment.
The Sens have had a slow start to the season attendance-wise, but have enjoyed healthy attendance for years before that. That doesn't mean they couldn't sell 40,000 seats for a special event. They can.
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St Louis has sold 96.6% of its tickets this year, Buffalo 96.5%. New Jersey and Long Island have never hosted an outdoor game (although technically they were the home teams when they played the Rangers at Yankee stadium). Among the bottom ten in NHL attendance (Calgary, Anaheim, New Jersey, Colorado, Florida, Columbus, Ottawa, NY Islanders, Arizona, Carolina) only Colorado has ever hosted an outdoor game.
I think the senators are worried about money. If Ottawa hosts a winter classic they have to give up their parking revenue, their arena advertising revenue, their bar/restaurant revenue and their regular concessions and only have concessions from the outdoor game and a 1/31 share of the overall profit. If the league doesn't make a significant profit or their concession revenue is lower than at the CTC (not sure what the concession contracts at Lansdowne look like) then they're out money.
I think the League is also worried about money. They have to take all of the risk and have really nothing to gain by facilitating Ottawa's Canada 150 efforts.