Quote:
Originally Posted by gjhall
Sorry, that's not how economics works.
If vacancies are going up, prices will come down. OR, if there REALLY is only a market for condos, then conversions would be happening. That's not happening.
More downtown condos did not cause this theatre to close, directly, indirectly or tangentially through any rational economic thinking.
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It was said that this is taking place in other cities across the country as well. This is pointing out that economic factors are causing the theatre business to leave downtowns, while we are likewise seeing condos move in. Theatres are not finding downtown locations sufficiently profitable to pay premium rents in comparison to suburban locations. It also points out that theatres cannot pay rent that is competitive with other commercial uses. Although there may be higher vacancies downtown at the moment, I highly doubt that there has been a crash in rents otherwise a theatre chain would have renewed the lease. Obviously, the building owners are expecting a rebound in the economy for office space and therefore an expected long-term lease from a theatre chain would not offer any discount whatsoever.
My point was that the condo boom is driving up the value of downtown property in general and therefore marginal uses of that valuable property are being driven out. Unfortunately, theatres are now a marginal use and is a reflection of the high degree of competition in the entertainment industry. Not enough people are going to the cinema these days to pay the high downtown rents.
Yes, the relationship is indirect, however, the trend over the last 40 years is also clear. Every movie house downtown, except the Bytowne, has either been torn down and replaced with higher revenue generating buildings or repurposed to generate higher revenue. Correct me if I am wrong, but wasn't the Somerset Theatre actually replaced by a condo building?