[eschaton]

I hate to bring politics into it, but honestly the build-up of Florida as a retiree haven is probably a net negative for the Republican Party - at least since their current governor has gone out of his way to antagonize liberals.

In four short years, Florida has transformed from a state which targeted retirees of all stripes to one that particularly attracts conservative retirees. These retirees are still mostly from the Northeast and Midwest. Sure, some of them are in safe D states like NY and IL, but plenty are from PA, MI, WI, etc.

At the same time, lots of people who grew up in Florida are leaving the state, with the single highest outflows being swingy southern states like GA, TX, NC, VA, etc. If these people are more left-leaning than the state at large, than it's actually moving all of them to the left a bit.

Hence it's kinda a zero-sum game here.