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Old Posted Aug 19, 2021, 1:56 PM
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Yuri Yuri is offline
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--- New York, with its strong performance, managed to be tied to Mexico City and São Paulo on the top;

--- On the 2nd group, we now have Buenos Aires tracking Los Angeles mostly due the disappointing number from LA;

--- Lima is growing fast and we'll be very close to Rio de Janeiro by 2030. Rio de Janeiro is not far away from having negative natural growth (births minus deaths), so the growth will be very slow. Bogotá, and Colombia as a whole, will slow down fast as their birth rates plunged. Chicago will need a 4% growth to become a megacity. Not difficult, but not easy either;

--- San Francisco, Toronto, Santiago, Dallas and Houston all growing fast. For now. Chilean capital will start to deal with smaller growth as births plunged there. San Francisco and Toronto with high housing prices. And the Texans, well, they're the strongest bet to keep growing at a fast pace;

--- Then another group with 5 US metro areas: Philadelphia, Miami, Boston, Atlanta and Washington, Boston being the biggest surprise here.

--- Monterrey with the highest growth rate in the group and Guadalajara doing quite well. Let's see if they will manage to keep those rates. Belo Horizonte slightly above Brazilian average for the past 30 years, so it will probably grow slower as the rest of the country. Detroit with a promising positive and it seems it will be that way during the 2020's, maybe even targeting a 5.5 million by 2030.

--- Seattle, Phoenix and Caracas are about to break the 5 million barrier. We have some on the continent 4 million people metro areas (Brasília, Recife, Porto Alegre, Montreal) but they're still far away from the 5 million mark.
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