Quote:
Originally Posted by ssiguy
Here is Canada a whopping 80% of our population growth is totally dependent upon immigration as we have the lowest birth rate in both the English & French speaking worlds. This has resulted in population growth forecasts has gone from being a sociological science to a political one because immigration rates are set the political party in power. As a result sociologists and demographers can really only predict population growth with any certainty for just 20% of the total figure.
This year exemplifies that. In August of this year population growth as collapsed as opposed to Aug of 2019. Canada grew by less than 25,000 in August............down 60% purely due to plunging immigration levels.
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All true although we'll likely get to a point very soon where it will be politically difficult to bring immigration levels down drastically. The Boomers will start dying off in large numbers in about 10+ years. We're in a panic to bring in lots of young working age people and quickly. Competition for immigrants will start heating up too as most of the developed world sees natural increase head to zero or negative.
The Conservatives may want fewer immigrants but our economic future demands we stay the course. The big worry is whether a Conservative government would adhere to ideology over what's best for Canada economically. It all hinges on whether immigration will return to pre-COVID levels. Will we see net migration back to 430,000+? Demographically speaking it would be prudent to get that number to 600,000 and keep it there for at least 20 years. In 2040, re-assess.
Canada's Census is in 2021 and July 1st, 2020 estimates haven't been released yet. I'll provide figures for the year ending July 1st, 2019 as a gauge of where we were pre-COVID. The linked site below will spit out numbers for CMAs (Census Metropolitan Area) and CAs (Census Agglomeration) and data by year starting in 2007.
CANADIAN POPULATION (July 1st, 2018 - July 1st 2019)
Population: 37,589,262
Annual Increase: +531,497
Natural Increase: +94,808
Net Migration: +436,689
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/...020003-eng.htm