Quote:
Originally Posted by KevinFromTexas
Austin's projected to have 4.5 million by 2040, which would put us between Minneapolis and Seattle on that list. Austin's city population has doubled and even tripled every 20 years off and on since 1850, so it's a safe bet it'll do it again. The only times it didn't do that was from 1900 to 1920, 1960 to 1980, and 1980 to 2000. Granted, in modern times it's becoming less frequent. Our lowest rate of growth was 16.8% from 1900 to 1920, and it was as high as 455% from 1850 to 1860, but it's been 20 to 52% since 1930. We're projected to hit 3 million in the metro by 2029.
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Wow. So Austin's MSA is right around 2.35-2.4M in 2020 right? To get to 4.5M by 2040 that's even above Phoenix 1990-2010 growth (2.2M-4.2M) with a much better economy. Staggering.
What's interesting to me is that Austin now doesn't feel nearly as spread out as Phoenix did in 1990. That's a very good thing.
Still, they definitely need to build some infrastructure to capture all that growth. Phoenix had the benefit of filling in mostly flat agricultural land within the existing arterial mile road grid (with some notable exceptions at the north end of the Valley). Austin will have a much harder time in that the land isn't flat and is mostly 'forested' for lack of a better term.