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Old Posted May 12, 2020, 3:26 PM
DesertRay DesertRay is offline
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Join Date: May 2018
Posts: 385
Quote:
Originally Posted by azsunsurfer View Post
Yes these are the same "experts" who have revised the estimate from 2 million deaths to 200,000 K deaths.
LOL. No.

These are people who tracked different sets of statistics after the fact to see other patterns. You know that throwing "scare quotes" around "words" like "experts" doesn't make something "smarter," right? The modelers were working with a completely new and unknown virus, and projecting based upon the unlimited complexity of the behavior of hundreds of millions Americans. Based on that, the original modelers were incredibly accurate. Trump said that it was 15, and going to nothing, and the modelers predicted between 100,000 to multiple millions. If we did nothing at all, it likely would have been at the high end. Americans stayed home, and we didn't get a direct hit (although we did worse than we would have if we had a coordinated and focused national effort from the beginning). The experts were correct within unbelievable complexity, and now the data sorters are correct based upon the new data.

I know that math is hard, but please do get out of the talk radio contrarian posturing for two seconds. Or don't.
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