Quote:
Originally Posted by JAYNYC
Which cities do you realistically expect the Phoenix CSA to surpass by 2030?
My 2030 projections (again) below.
1. New York-Newark, NY-NJ-CT-PA Combined Statistical Area
2. Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA Combined Statistical Area
3. San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland, CA Combined Statistical Area
4. Washington-Baltimore-Arlington, DC-MD-VA-WV-PA Combined Statistical Area
5. Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI Combined Statistical Area
6. Dallas-Fort Worth, TX-OK Combined Statistical Area
7. Boston-Worcester-Providence, MA-RI-NH-CT Combined Statistical Area
8. Houston-The Woodlands, TX Combined Statistical Area
9. Miami-Port St. Lucie-Fort Lauderdale, FL Combined Statistical Area
10. Atlanta–Athens-Clarke County–Sandy Springs, GA-AL Combined Statistical Area
11. Philadelphia-Reading-Camden, PA-NJ-DE-MD Combined Statistical Area
12. Phoenix-Mesa, AZ Combined Statistical Area
13. Seattle-Tacoma, WA Combined Statistical Area
14. Detroit-Warren-Ann Arbor, MI Combined Statistical Area
15. Orlando-Lakeland-Deltona, FL Combined Statistical Area
16. Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Combined Statistical Area
17. Denver-Aurora, CO Combined Statistical Area
18. Portland-Vancouver-Salem, OR-WA Combined Statistical Area
19. Cleveland-Akron-Canton, OH Combined Statistical Area
20. Charlotte-Concord, NC-SC Combined Statistical Area
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Re read my post. It's MSA will be 9 or 10 with its CSA being lower because Payson (micro-politan) only adds 50,000 people, unless we Get Prescott and the Verde Valley to be included in our CSA (which could occur) or Tucson (which I highly doubt)
If Prescott is added to the Phoenix CSA that will be an additional 300k+ by 2030, If Tucson did that would be an additional Million. But our CSA ranking at this point is basically at the mercy of how the BLS and Census department define what a CSA is. For Example we didnt even have one at all until this year.
Edit:
Specifically,
if our CSA stays the same: pass Detroit and sit at #12 as you have predicted.
If it adds Prescott: Its hard to say it depends on how Atlanta and Philly Grow, it would be fairly tied with both in 10 years potentially edging out one or both. Or could still find itself at #12
If it adds Tucson: This would change everything as it would add 1 million plus people to the CSA that would without a doubt land us at #10 behind Houston
If it adds Prescott and Tucson: Not enough to make the difference probably would still be #10 with about ~7.3 million people.