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Old Posted Feb 1, 2018, 3:02 AM
marothisu marothisu is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
Originally Posted by left of center View Post
Impressive. We were losing a bit less than that per year last decade. Lets hope we can turn that around this census or next.
No we weren't. Chicago's actual overall population net loss was estimated at sometime between 2000/2001 and 2004. The US Census with the exception of one year has been estimating Chicago's population at between 2.7 and 2.8 million since 2005. Complete myth based off of lazy investigation and basing off of one year of weird data, and Chicago was not the only city that was over estimated for this weird year (2009 - more on that later).

SOURCE: United Status Census American Community Survey (1 year survey), table S0101
https://factfinder.census.gov

2005: 2,701,926
2006: 2,749,283
2007: 2,737,996
2008: 2,741,455,
2009: 2,850,502
2010: 2,698,831 (estimate - the actual census was 2,695,598)
2011: 2,707,123
2012: 2,714,844
2013: 2,718,789
2014: 2,722,407
2015; 2,720,556
2016: 2,704,965

I mean, did people seriously believe the 2009 number? Want to know who else was over estimated by a TON of people? Houston by over 150,000 people, NYC by something like 200,000 people, etc. All of these places magically jumped up a few hundred thousand people from 2008's estimate only to go back down to near 2008's estimate for the 2010 Decennial Census. You basically have to throw the 2009 number out of the window if you are actually looking at loss information and as you can see above, Chicago's population has been stagnant between 2.7 and 2.75 million people for 11 of the last 12 estimates. In other words, even the US Census believes that most of the population net loss for Chicago was before 2005 and has been pretty even ever since.

And yes, south side in some areas continues to lose people. The difference between now and then is that there are other communities outside of downtown which are gaining in population whereas back then that wasn't really true.
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Last edited by marothisu; Feb 1, 2018 at 3:20 AM.
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