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Trying to "make a difference" by going into politics is a waste of time, sadly... |
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People, please try to refocus on transportation and away from DC partisan politics--or just take it to the Current Events section, where partisan politics are supposed to be discussed on this forum.
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Caltrain plan would fast-track electric rail
February 13, 2012 By Michael Cabanatuan Read More: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/articl...4G0.DTL&ao=all Quote:
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Officials stand by high-speed rail estimate (Fresno Bee)
29M annual trips between LA - SF sounds reasonable. By 2040, California's population should grow by at least 15M more people (population growth as been 400,000 - 500,000 per year for the past decade). Ridership on Amtrak increased by more than five percent last year, setting a ridership record. As CA's metro regions continue to build their local transit and commuter rail networks, this will provide an important feeder system. High speed rail will travel between 2-3 times faster than the current Acela trains in the Northeast. And either the price of gas will be significantly more two decades from now or if there is a great expansion of plug-in hybrid vehicles, the highways will be far more congested as California continues to growth. Both will increase the relative attractiveness of high speed rail compared with automobiles.
The estimate provided in this article is only for 2040. Phase I of this investment is suppose to be completed around 2030. It will have a useful life of at least 50-60 years. It is entirely reasonable to expect that fast, efficient, high speed rail will be able to attract 30M annual passengers between the Bay Area - Los Angeles by 2070 - 2080. Officials stand by high-speed rail estimate By Tim Sheehan Fresno Bee Saturday, Feb. 18, 2012 "State rail officials are defending as reasonable their estimates that passengers will take at least 29 million trips a year on high-speed trains between San Francisco and Los Angeles by 2040. In car-loving California, state High-Speed Rail Authority board members say, it will take only a small share of the millions of trips now being made by car and airplane to switch to trains to make the project profitable. "If you look at the long-term projections for rides in this state," said Michael Rossi, an authority board member and former vice president of Bank of America, "we only need less than 3% total ride changes [to high-speed trains] from cars and aviation to break even, and more of that will come from cars than aviation..." http://www.fresnobee.com/2012/02/18/...igh-speed.html |
Cool. It seems like the major issues are slowly being resolved after a moment of crisis. This is starting to have the air of inevitability around it, especially with Jerry Brown's unwavering support.
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It's great having Michael Rossi on the team as well as he was appointed the Governor's 'Jobs Czar' last year (for his business background) and can hopefully continue to show that this system will be economically viable.
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There's so much emphasis on profitability with rail projects... I wonder how profitable the highways and airports between SF and LA are.
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Does anybody have any idea what trainsets will be ordered if this goes ahead? What's most likely, French, German, Japanese, or Chinese trains? Any rumours?
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Just noticed this interesting and relevant snippet published last month in a Washington Post article on HSR:
"Few places would benefit more from the trains. California’s urban areas are notorious for hair-raising traffic jams. The skies between San Francisco and Los Angeles — the country’s busiest route — are so packed that 25 percent of the flights between the two cities are at least one hour late, according to state officials. And with the state’s population projected to soar by 50 percent over the next four decades, the congestion is expected only to grow more dire." |
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An interesting succession of non sequiturs. This is why it is useful to talk to people with different views. Not that you will change your minds; but at least change to different arguments.
LA and the Bau are very crowded metros. So build a a connection between them? This is nonsense on its face. How does this help me get from Reseda or San Dimas to downtown or Century City? Or Pleasanton or SF to Palo Alto or SJ? What is needed is intra-city not inter-city transit improvements. The skies being full is just plain false. Call right now and see if you can get a flight from Oakland, SF, SJ or Sacto to LA, Burbank, Long Beach, the OC or Ontario. I virtually guarantee you won't have a problem. Things are so slow that Oakland is advertising for people to come use their airport. Ontario shut down a terminal. I rarely see lines at Burbank. LAX and SFO are legitimately crowded but they are national and international hubs and the instrastate traffic is largely immaterial to their problems. |
Whose claims to trust--California state officials as quoted in the Washington Post, or a forum anti-HSR extremist? Hmm.
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i think you're incorrectly seeing hsr purely as a response rather than a choice. |
California absolutely needs HSR among the major population centers and modern, fast, efficient, rail-based mass transit within them.
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Do we need both? No. We NEED help within the LA and Bay Areas. We don't need help getting between them.
Or putting it another way: with 6B to spend on a 120B project, where do you put your money first: Manteca to near Bako? or within the two huge congested areas that need rebuiliding and upgrading? If you say the latter, you agree with me, Jerry Brown, every state audit committee, every local transit authority from SF to SD and I would guess about 80 percent of the population. |
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gtbassett:
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Transportation agencies seek bullet train funds to upgrade local corridors New proposals call for spending an additional $4 billion from a $9-billion bond fund to improve existing tracks in Northern and Southern California that would later become part of the bullet-train system. February 19, 2012 By Dan Weikel and Ralph Vartabedian Los Angeles Times "In a major shift in thinking about the state's bullet train, powerful transportation agencies in Northern and Southern California want to quickly obtain up to half the project's bond financing to upgrade local rail corridors that could become part of the proposed high-speed network. Until recently, the project was expected to draw down only $2.7 billion of its $9-billion bond fund in coming years to help pay for a 130-mile rail segment in the Central Valley. But the new proposals call for potentially spending an additional $4 billion upfront, which would leave just a few billion in the state's voter-approved finance package. "We ought to be investing whatever is available now to show California and the rest of the country the benefits of high speed rail very soon," said Jose Luis Moscovich, executive director of the San Francisco County Transportation Authority. "We believe there can be simultaneous efforts in Southern California and on the peninsula" between San Francisco and San Jose..." http://articles.latimes.com/2012/feb...-plan-20120220 |
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I would, however, like to see the interim step of eliminating grade crossings along the entire route; double-tracking the whole thing, and electrifying it. Still couldn't run trains at HSR speeds, but that alone would cut down the travel time and probably make the train faster than driving. |
Rational thinking seems to be taking over. Anything that is HSR compatible and links Riverside, Irvine, Ventura and the High Desert to Union Station has my support. Ditto fo linking SJ to Oakland and Sacto.
Still controversial: HSR currently wants to go from LA/Anaheim/Irvine to SD via Riverside. This is not an efficient route. Leave it for last, or never. Same for spending money on the Peninsula. It will be very expensive and the locals don't want it or need it (Caltrain is already in place and quite efficient). I would improve the East Bay corridor and allow those going to SF to switch to Caltrain at SJ. |
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^ And if anyone really thinks that South OC residents will be willing to let HSR run along the coast, I'm sorry but they're simply being delusional.
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========== In all seriousness tho, upgrading trackage along the route will not allow anything close to the 220 mph speeds they were targeting. Track bed & geometry simply won't allow it - curves need to be superelevated based on the speeds of the trains, not vice-versa. However, since the tracks in urban areas that connect to stations will never run anywhere close to 220 mph, they could tackle the "last mile" problem first. As the most politically and technically challenging aspect of HSR construction, not to mention the longest for construction, getting the stations built first would be a huge step. Then they could just swap out those HSR middle sections with new track, like they did on the new Bay Bridge span (ok, metaphorically), and buy new trains. It will probably cost more in the long run, however, as they will need to spread costs over several additional decades. Maybe finish in the 2350?s Just in time for warp travel to the Delta Quadrant! (which will be in Chinese starships, btw). |
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But the only track sections ever proposed to reach 200 mph speeds was in the central valley - what the FRA wants to built first. The LA-SD segment never reached 200 mph, but I believe it did once indicate faster than 110 mph. Likewise with the SF to SJ segment. But I'm not certain because I can't find that old map. I do believe we could kill many arguments here if someone could find and repost that map. |
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Edit: I think someone got stuck in the doors when they were closing one time, but that's about the only one (not counting the suicides). |
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Caltrain estimates that you could electrify the whole corridor to Tamien (SJ) and install the PTC signal system required for HSR for about $950 million. You can also build a "mid-line overtake" - essentially passing tracks - for $600 million. That leaves $450 million for Altamont... I'm not too clear on what needs to be done over there. All of a sudden you've got a corridor that can support HSR. |
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Furthermore, this is currently being built between Oakland International Airport and the Coluseum BART station. http://sf.streetsblog.org/wp-content...09/OAC-pic.jpg http://sf.streetsblog.org/wp-content...09/OAC-pic.jpg Construction pics: http://extras.mnginteractive.com/liv...~7_GALLERY.JPG http://extras.mnginteractive.com/liv...~3_GALLERY.JPG |
High-speed rail board backs SoCal bid for $1 billion (San Diego Union-Tribune)
High-speed rail board backs SoCal bid for $1 billion
San Diego Union-Tribune Written by Robert J. Hawkins 3/2/2012 "The board of the High Speed Rail Authority today voted to support a memorandum of understanding from a group of Southern California transportation agencies seeking $1 billion for local rail improvements. In return for bringing the local rail system up to HSR performance standards and essentially supporting the high-speed rail project, the coalition of agencies wants the High Speed Rail Authority to release $1 billion in Proposition 1A funds – from the $9 billion voter-approved bond referendum. The general feeling of the board was that the request fits in with "blended approach" for the high speed rail project. Similar requests are being prepared by Inland and Northern California transportation agencies..." http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2012/...bid-1-billion/ |
High-speed rail project likely delayed until 2013 (Fresno Bee)
High-speed rail project likely delayed until 2013
By Tim Sheehan The Fresno Bee Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2012 “Construction of a high-speed train line in the central San Joaquin Valley was supposed to start late this year. Now, officials say, it's not likely to start until early 2013, even if state legislators approve billions in bond money this spring. At its meeting Thursday in Sacramento, the California High-Speed Rail Authority will learn about an updated schedule for the $6 billion construction project. The slowdown in the schedule is the result of revisions to environmental reports for the 120-mile Fresno-to-Bakersfield section of the rail line -- part of the backbone of a proposed 520-mile system of electric trains connecting San Francisco and Los Angeles. Later extensions would add lines to Sacramento and San Diego. About $3 billion in federal stimulus and transportation funds earmarked for the project in 2010 and 2011 were based on construction starting by September 2012. But a 2013 start isn't expected to endanger the funds, high-speed rail officials said, because the more important deadline is having the work completed by late 2017…” http://www.fresnobee.com/2012/02/28/...struction.html |
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California’s Bullet Train — A Fresh Start and a Change in Direction
March 7th, 2012 By Ken Orski Read More: http://www.infrastructureusa.org/cal...-in-direction/ Quote:
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Well the bookends were always going to be built, but I guess this just assures people. People just need to understand that track building must begin in open land where the trains can be tested. They will never be able to test up to 250mph in a metropolitan area.
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If that is confusing, that the equivalent to the difference between a street having up to four lanes vs two parallel two lane streets. And that one street doesn't necessarily have four lanes, it could be as little as two lanes. Using shared tracks in urban areas is a significant difference than using dedicated tracks. |
The logic is still to build ONLY the bookends. The part in the middle is useless until there is real evidence that cars and air can't handle the load faster and cheaper.
But delaying the middle should give the people a good view of how long it really takes for HSR to travel through huge metro areas vs. what the proponents claim. Maybe we'll all be positively impressed. |
How much time will this new approach add on to the SF-LA trip time?
I hope to God that they keep it competitive with airlines and that this cheaper solution won't slow the trains down too much. I hate to see this value engineering. If you are going to build a HSR line, just build it properly, otherwise don't bother. |
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