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It definitely is tiresome. Up here in the North Bay, there were many naysayers who said the SMART commuter rail line would flop. Of course it’s been a success. :haha: |
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The residents of France and the companies in France pay most of their taxes to the French central government. The residents of California and the companies in California pay most of their taxes to the US central government. |
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The top line was 109 billion euros, which is $134 billion. Sorry I mislead the web page that badly. I thought the top line was the total last night, but it's not. But at least I did provide a link so you can check it out....and point out my error. Adding up all the lines listed on my link does not come close to your number, only to ~ 290 billion Euros, which converts to $357 billion. Where did you find the 424 billion Euro number? But the point that France collects and distributes tax revenues differently than the USA is true. But California does not have to finance national defense nor national society security retirement benefits - which consumes a major part of the USA's budget. So not only do the two countries collect revenues differently, they also allocate the revenues differently. Which, to keep this reply on topic, should bring us back to the question on how France finances HSR projects? Does it have a budget and is it expected to keep to it? Has it ever faced 200% cost overruns? How close operationally is it at making a profit? |
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SF (the city alone) has much higher car ownership than any city in Europe, BTW. And it's only 10% of the Bay Area, which is more car oriented than any metro on earth outside the U.S. The only reason the Acela even works is because NYC is at the center. If NYC were positioned where Boston or DC were located, even Acela would fail, because you wouldn't have millions of transit-dependent folks at the hub of the line. The U.S. is much too decentralized to draw comparisons with Europe. |
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Something like 5% of jobs in LA CSA are in/around downtown. Like 90% of CA lives in postwar sprawl; in Europe the share might be 10%. |
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The idea that this will magically change and LA becomes Paris if you spend $100 billion on another line is pretty much crazy. |
How much did it cost to build a single HSR line in France? Was it more or less than $100 billion?
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SMART deserves a thread of its own :yes: |
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108834 70012 42098 40591 26949 19515 18345 17845 15458 10861 9620 8543 6308 3436 3346 3106 2912 2605 2537 2067 1880 1465 1266 1098 991 729 706 649 569 24 As to your other questions. I'm no expert on French government operations. I just don't enjoy seeing people throwing out fake numbers all the time. |
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Tax repayment and abatement 108834 Education 70012 State Financial commitments 42098 Defense 40091 Research and higher education 26949 Security 19515 Territory housing and urban equality 18345 Solidarity, readaptation, and equal opportunities 17845 Work and employment 15458 Public finances and human research management 10861 Environment and sustainable development 9620 Justice 8543 Pension and social plans 6308 Relations with local and regional authorities 3436 Agriculture, fish, food, forests and rural affairs 3346 General and territorial administration 3106 State's foreign action 3006 Culture 2912 Public development aid 2605 Veterans, memory and links with the nation 2537 Overseas 2607 Economy 1880 Government action supervision 1465 Health 1266 Immigration, asylum and integration 1098 Public authorities 991 Sports, youth and volunteer sector 729 Territory policy 706 State's council and control 649 Media, book, and culture industry 569 Provisions 24 Obviously we are counting from two different lists from the same link??? |
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The number look the same, so lets recheck the math..... Okay, your sums are correct. :tup: |
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If my cousin in Hancock Park wanted to get to San Francisco, it would be much faster and easier to take a bus or Uber to a rail terminal in DTLA and take a train north, than to either drive it OR get to LAX for a flight. |
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The issue probably isn’t just the lack of density, it is the overall connectivity. Yakumoto’s earlier point that California is more centralised than most of Europe is mute when the infrastructure and connectivity in those urban areas is worse than most rural areas in Europe.
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All of this pseudoscience being thrown around using LA's lack of robust transit connectivity or relative low density as evidence of why HSR won't succeed here/HSR won't be built/HSR won't have riders/HSR will be a failure, take your pick, misses one glaringly obvious fact: None of those perceived incompatibilities prevent people from flying in very large quantities between LAX-SFO. Why would a trip to [more than one] CHSR stations be any different than making it to LAX to fly in and out of LAX?
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The riders of CHSR will not be just LA Point A - SF Point B. They will be going to Bakersfield and from Fresno to San Jose and from Bakersfield to SF and from Merced to LA and from San Jose to Palmdale and on and on. Multiple point-points start to add up. That is what makes the investment in HSR infrastructure pay off. The capacity is enormous.
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It's pretty unlikely that many are taking HSR because they can't afford a car, you can pick up used cars for next to nothing. The poorest people probably don't do much inter city travel at all compared with higher income people, I'd say situations like that are more common on local buses, subways and rail services than on long distance HSR. If they didn't have a car then slower but cheaper buses are the way to go if they want to minimise costs I think. |
E) it doesn't matter
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The vast majority of non-poor Angelinos are drivers, and LAX is actually more convenient to the most desirable business, tourist and residential districts, all of which accommodate drivers. |
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We should be investing in the hyperloop not this obselete rail technology
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Eg https://www.autoscout24.fr/resultats...tandard&desc=0 https://www.coches.net/segunda-mano/?or=1&fi=Price https://www.gebrauchtwagen.de/suche/...preis-bis=2000 Most adults in Europe drive, those that don't are often in urban areas where they don't need to. I very much doubt its an income thing very often that they can't afford to as you find rural areas with lower incomes where 95% of households have a vehicle. |
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In Germany, you cannot drive a car into cities without an Abgasuntersuchung (AU). Junker cars will never get the AU certification. Therefore, there are basically no road-legal junk cars in Germany, because they can't go anywhere. And, you can't drive your junker anywhere without a Hauptuntersuchung (HU). The HU is only given for cars in reasonably good mechanical condition. You could buy a junker and fix it, but until then, it can't be legally driven, even in the countryside. Other countries have similar regulations. That's why you rarely see junkers on the Continent like you see in U.S., Canada and Australia, even though incomes are lower. |
Hmm, I don't know, I seem to recall seeing a good number of older, low value cars on the roads in various European countries on my travels, especially in more rural areas. Of course they do need to be roadworthy, that's no different in the UK either, but people seem to manage to keep them in a reasonable mechanical state even if they are older and cheap to buy.
The average age of cars on the road in the EU is 10.7 years, and as that is the average there are a lot significantly older than that. http://www.acea.be/statistics/tag/ca...ge-vehicle-age But going back to the original point, I don't think Inter City high speed rail is particularly used by poor people, its used by all sectors of society (including some poor people of course). Being predominantly used by people with low incomes is maybe more characteristic of local bus services but even there it is a mixture of people using them. |
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Again, I'm an advocate for high speed rail in California. It makes sense to connect Los Angeles' Union Station (probably the busiest train station on the west coast) to the future Transbay Transit Center in San Francisco with high speed rail. My point of comparing Paris' Metro to LA's Metro Rail scale-wise was simply size. I've used Paris' Metro to go everywhere, and everyone, including myself, always says that Paris' Metro takes you everywhere you want to go in Paris---but apparently, when you compare LA and Paris on the same scale, "everywhere" in Paris is a small area. |
Lack of public transport connectivity beyond the hub stations for California HSR will be a drawback I think that limits its usefulness. But I think on the plus side that will then be a big incentive to build better urban transport links in the future using those stations as focal points, they can use the fact that it will give easy quick access to LA or SF as a selling point to build those local systems.
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It has been said repeatedly but if people fly LAX - SFO (or OAK or SJC) they don't have an immediate car. Why is a train different? And those skies are crowded btw which is why we need the train. The cost structure is ridic tho fr
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HSR can't deliver miracles by itself, it needs to be part of a wider strategy to integrate regions, rather than just the areas surrounding stations. As it is, the SFO-LAX route apparently carried just 2.2mn people. Less than 11mn journeys were made on Metrolink.
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Keep in mind that the UK has had a deregulated coach market since the 1980’s (something France and Germany have only just got around to sorting out) and a far more aggressive low-cost carrier market, which forced the intercity rail operators to become leaner and smarter. Despite the absence of a HSR network, more people travel by intercity train in the UK ahead of Germany (ICE) or France (TGV and Intercités). Virgin Trains East Coast (the intercity operator out of London King’s Cross) carries more people than the entire Spanish AVE network. |
Booking in advance does make a huge difference, many European operators have variable fares but in the UK the differences can be especially big.
Just looking at tickets from London to Leeds (190 miles / 305km, journey takes just over two hours) Turn up now to travel this afternoon and the cheapest single ticket is £109 ($152.50) Buy now for travel tomorrow afternoon and it's £66 ($92.50). Buy now for travel next Monday afternoon it's £44 ($61.50) Buy now for travel on the afternoon of April 18 and it's £29 ($40.50). Buy now for travel on the afternoon of May 9 and it's £22 ($31) Buy now for travel on the afternoon of June 21 and it's £16 ($22.50) |
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LAX to SFO, on a Wednesday April 25th on American Airlines [or affiliate]- $35. |
To be fair that same day you can get a train from Paris to Lille at €22 ($27)
https://s31.postimg.org/l7gpa7va3/15...Snip_Image.jpg If you are booking further ahead into May the are plenty of days with tickets available at €15 ($18.50) It looks like €50 is the walk on fare for that route, ie the maximum fare that you'll only pay if you don't book ahead. |
It's irrelevant what it costs in France because what it costs is based on the capital costs and total number of riders. These will be very different in California.
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Anaheim to Santa Barbara is currently $37 for the Saver seats, the lowest possible ticket. For a Flex seat it's $63 one way. |
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They need to just hand this thing over to Elon Musk and say 'figure it out'.
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I think he's too busy figuring out how to produce the Tesla Model 3 in sufficient numbers to meet the orders he's taken at the moment to take on any other big commitments.
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So even if an airplane travels 650mph and the train only travels 200mph, the actual door-to-door travel between much of LA and San Jose or San Francisco will be similar or even better. Quote:
Plus, the benefits to the Central Valley will be immense. Fresno and Merced will become commuter towns for San Jose. And the secondary city that will benefit the most of all will be San Jose. |
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Oh and Metrorail will be connected to Bakersfield so....yeah..in 2022. Part of the goodies associated with the project that will happen before build-out. |
My main issue with this project is not whether or not it's useful, but it's high price tag. I hope that it is reasonably cheap, though, now that it is being constructed.
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LA is bigger than Paris, but rail ridership is almost zero. The Bay Area has like 9 million people and one of the biggest centralized cores in the U.S. and rail ridership is very low. Both regions have spent megabillions on transit and are very pro-transit both culturally and through public policy, yet rail is practically irrelevant. Quote:
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