30,000 Foreign Students(Renters)Exit Vancouver
"According to Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada data, there was a 30.5 percent decline in study permits—from 96,360 to 66,990—granted to international students in the first four months of 2020 compared to the same period of 2019."
Rents are falling, condo supply for sale is rising, and this is one major reason why. With most schools and universities transitioning to online learning, this trend will only increase, as students no longer need to pay tens of thousands per year in rent to receive an education from a foreign school. https://www.straight.com/education/d...-on-bc-economy |
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Too bad that statistic is Canada wide. And that number increased 50K from 2018-2019 to put things into perspective.
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Interesting to have the benefit of perspective. |
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Rental demand takes another hit as many students stay home MATT LUNDYECONOMICS REPORTER PUBLISHED SEPTEMBER 8, 2020 Rental housing markets across Canada are seeing weaker demand this fall as some postsecondary students pivot to online learning and stay in their hometowns, resulting in a spate of empty bedrooms and mounting losses for landlords. Although policies differ by college or university, most have adopted a hybrid approach for the fall semester that allows a combination of online and in-person classes, with restrictions in place to reduce the spread of COVID-19. In many cases, however, students have the option of attending classes entirely online – and that has kept many from renting. Demand from students “has completely dried up,” says Sara Hamilton, a real estate broker who frequently leases condos. Before the pandemic, most of her leasing activity in downtown Toronto came from students. “Now, there’s no interest from students at all.” The student slowdown is contributing to broader weakness in the rental market, which has seen demand tumble during the pandemic. As a result, many units are sitting empty for longer and often get rented for less. For tenants in Canada’s priciest housing markets, the situation is a reprieve from years of low vacancies and surging rental rates... ...Rental demand is being hit on several fronts, including pandemic policies that are slowing immigration into Canada, including by international students. In the Greater Toronto Area, international students and other non-permanent residents are “very tied to what’s going on in the condo market” and play a huge role in rentals, says John Pasalis, president of brokerage Realosophy Realty. The number of newly listed condos for lease in the GTA reached a record high in August as supply outpaced demand, according to data from consulting firm Urbanation. The average condo rent declined 9.6 per cent from a year ago, to $2,272 a month. Data from multiple listing platforms show rents declining in Vancouver, too. The shift is apparent to brokers. Ms. Guirguis says NV tried to lease a new studio in downtown Toronto that before the pandemic would go for $2,100 a month. Given the condo is furnished and close to Ryerson University, it would normally appeal to students. Instead, it took six months to fill – and for $300 cheaper. “On a regular day, at an $1,800 price point, I would have had a lineup,” Ms. Guirguis says...(bold mine) https://www.theglobeandmail.com/busi...ost-secondary/ |
This is no different than the discussion about the future of offices. It's either a generational change or things go back to different or somewhere in between.
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However, it goes to show how depite the Liberals promising in the last two elections to aid home affordability in our major cities, their other policies have directly contributed to making housing unaffordable. |
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"30,000 Foreign Students(Renters)Exit Vancouver"
4% of the population of the city left? |
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Given OP's username, it makes perfect sense.
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Its very much bounced back already. I think this pandemic ultimately changes very little in that regard. I think the largest changes will be demographic. Early retirements, and more land bought outside major city cores as people look to secure more space. |
This would explain why the market for 1bdrm investment condos have absolutely tanked in the suburbs.
Was eying one for 360k and noticed it was re-listed for 328k. My agent is telling me to jump in come late fall as panic stricken buyers will be fire selling their units due the lack of rental demand. |
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Rents falling across the board, this isn't even news anymore, except to people with their heads in the sand, like you. https://www.straight.com/news/new-re...over-past-year |
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But yeah, for the ostriches with their heads in the sand like you, all is well. https://www.straight.com/news/new-re...over-past-year |
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