Quote:
Originally Posted by chris08876
Probally in the next few years, I could see Queens being number one and Brooklyn becoming third as the Bronx is set for a massive boom. The units in the pipeline is quite large. Especially with numerous parcels being bought along the S.Bronx where plans for developments containing 2000+ units on average are planned. Also an uptick in highrise and mid rise construction for the Bronx.
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Queens could surpass Brooklyn in the future, since their populations are similar, with Queens being much larger in area. But I don't think it will happen, if it happens, soon, that would take several years. So far, both have similar growth rates, although since 2000 Brooklyn has had a higher growth rate than Queens, but during the 1990's Queens had a great surge in population that could repeat in the next years.
But The Bronx surpassing Brooklyn is veeeeryyyy improbable to happen. The Bronx is way smaller than Brooklyn, so in order to surpass it, The Bronx would need a very high density. Right now the densities in both boroughs are similar with Brooklyn slightly higher at 14,182 sq.km 7/ 36,732 sq.mi vs 13,221 sq.km / 34,242 sq.mi for the Bronx.
In order to have the same population Brooklyn had in 2014, the Bronx woould need a density of 24000 sq.km / 62000 sq.mi that would be similar as that of Manhattan 27,673 sq.km / 71,672 sq.mi
The Bronx could surpass Manhattan though, demoting the island to the fourth place. But if that happens, it would take decades to.