Quote:
Originally Posted by freeweed
The complaints will be because only x thousand WILL take transit to the airport.
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Again, if you are talking about that report from a couple years back, there are huge holes in their logic, which was almost totally based on current ridership.
Quote:
Originally Posted by freeweed
Airport transit is a "nice to have", but compared to nearly any transit link we create, will be highly underutilized. I've been to cities of 10 million that don't have train service to their airports, and they survive just fine.
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I could name a dozen cities I've been to with transit to the airport and <1M pop. I liked visiting them more than cities with poor transit.
Quote:
Originally Posted by freeweed
And transit to/from the airport is cheaper than any other method, for single travellers, which is 90% of who will use it. Families and groups will never, ever bother with it. Have you SEEN what the average family flies with these days?
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I'd predict that the majority of those who travel to the airport are (1) airport employees, (2) business travellers, (3) students, and (4) people travelling individually, with more families travelling on school holidays. Plus, there's the fact that you can't bring a car on a plane. I believe measuring transit success purely by ridership is wrongheaded in this case. If on average, each of the 13M annual YYC passengers spends $50 on cabs/parking - that's $650M/year that Calgarians are willing to spend on airport transportation, not including employees. If YYC business did not increase (which it will), and half of those people were able to spend $3 to get to the airport, then the transit users would spend $39M/year and the drivers/cabbers $325M/year. Throw in double the transit tickets cost for operating cost, and the city would spend just over $400M/year on going to the airport - $150 million less than now! If the capital cost is only $175M to build LRT, we should definitely do it!
Now, of course I've made a lot of assumptions, but I think it is possible to get 6.5M people to users to take transit eventually. Not in the first few years perhaps, but over time as YYC gets busier, more frequent travellers become comfortable with the line, and transit improves in the rest of the city. Even if my assumptions were off by an entire order of magnitude, this still makes sense in the long run. Of course, if we never spend $80M to upgrade airport trail, that would take a huge bit out of the differential and result in higher transit ridership. Just saying.
Anyway, just some food for thought. The first step is creating low-cost, frequent bus service with proper signage and infrastructure at YYC. 301 is OK, but if confusing to use even to someone who is from the city. Should everyone who arrives in Calgary have $8.50 CAD cash? I'm not sure if they've improved signage, but last time I was there the bus was nearly impossible to find. I can't imagine trying to find it if I didn't speak or read English well. Oh, and it comes every 30 minutes and there is no schedule posted. Base your assumptions on current service and of course the estimate will be low. Not the best welcome to our city.
This all could have been avoided had we built the terminal anywhere but where it is on airport land.