2014 Civic Census

[Chadillaccc]

Well yeah if the Calgary Region was basically 1 470 000 last year, we should be at about 1 520 000 this year (30 000 in the city, 20 000 in the suburbs?) I would guess...
maybe 1 510 000.

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

I'll ask the bigger question, what do you think our metropolitan population will increase to this year? It was 1 364 000 last year.

I'd guess around 1 405 000 this year, with the extended metro area (Okotoks and Foothills) making it around 1 480 000.

That sounds about right. I don't know when Statscan will officially add Okotoks and Foothills to Calgary CMA, but unofficially Calgary's CMA will be over 1.5M by the time of our 2015 civic census.

[Chadillaccc]

Yeah. People still group Calgary with Ottawa and Edmonton because officially we're only about 60 - 80 000 ahead, but in reality we're about 150 000 ahead. Still not enough to be considered "big 4" or whatever, but it's a pretty significant gap that is only getting larger.

[Calgarian]

According to Wikipedia, the Calgary Region (which includes Okotoks) was 1 278 962 in 2011, so I would say we are probably over 1.5mil by now.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calgary_Region

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by Calgarian

According to Wikipedia, the Calgary Region (which includes Okotoks) was 1 278 962 in 2011, so I would say we are probably over 1.5mil by now.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calgary_Region

So, according to Wikipedia, the 'Calgary Region' is essentially Calgary CMA plus Foothills MD. The Edmonton Captial Region is basically the Edmonton CMA.

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

Yeah. People still group Calgary with Ottawa and Edmonton because officially we're only about 60 - 80 000 ahead, but in reality we're about 150 000 ahead. Still not enough to be considered "big 4" or whatever, but it's a pretty significant gap that is only getting larger.

I don't know when it'll happen, but once Foothills is added, there will be a fairly significant gap between Calgary and Edmonton/Ottawa. In time there will be a significant gap between Edmonton and Ottawa.

[Chadillaccc]

For sure.

Originally Posted by Surrealplaces

So, according to Wikipedia, the 'Calgary Region' is essentially Calgary CMA plus Foothills MD. The Edmonton Captial Region is basically the Edmonton CMA.

The Capital Region actually has a few thousand less people than the CMA, interestingly enough, while our "Region" has tens of thousands more then the CMA, maybe close to 100 000 more by now. So weird.

[lubicon]

I'll go with 2% growth, whatever that works out to numbers wise.

[Chadillaccc]

2% is less than 23 000, that would be a huge drop in our growth, so hopefully not.

Even still though, our population would grow to 1 172 000, which isn't bad at all!

[kw5150]

I stand firm at 38,000.

[Chadillaccc]

That would be nice! Might as well round it up to 40 000

[Deepstar]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

For sure.

The Capital Region actually has a few thousand less people than the CMA, interestingly enough, while our "Region" has tens of thousands more then the CMA, maybe close to 100 000 more by now. So weird.

The Edmonton CMA is a huge area. It's Canada's largest CMA in area at almost 10,000 sq km.

[Tarsus]

I'm predicting Calgary will see an increase of 30,000 people give or take.

[Chadillaccc]

Originally Posted by Deepstar

The Edmonton CMA is a huge area. It's Canada's largest CMA in area at almost 10,000 sq km.

Holy crap! I didn't realize that. Comparatively, Calgary CMA is less than 60% the size of the Edmonton CMA! I never really looked into this before, just populations. Even the NCR (Ottawa metro) is larger than ours, by nearly 1000 sq. km.

[Deepstar]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

Holy crap! I didn't realize that. Comparatively, Calgary CMA is less than 60% the size of the Edmonton CMA! I never really looked into this before, just populations. Even the NCR (Ottawa metro) is larger than ours, by nearly 1000 sq. km.

Calgary's CMA is relatively small compared to some of the other cities. Once we add in Foothills MD we will be almost the same size as Edmonton's, but we will have added around 80,000 people.

[fusili]

Well, I said this in the other post, but my guess is 2.59% growth, and Beltline to grow by 500.

[Chadillaccc]

Originally Posted by Deepstar

Calgary's CMA is relatively small compared to some of the other cities. Once we add in Foothills MD we will be almost the same size as Edmonton's, but we will have added around 80,000 people.

By the time that happens, it will probably be over 100 000, since it likely won't happen until census 2021 or later. It would be nice to jump up to being 200 000 largest than the next largest cities in such an easy fell swoop

[Deepstar]

Originally Posted by fusili

Well, I said this in the other post, but my guess is 2.59% growth, and Beltline to grow by 500.

I'm expecting about the same for the Beltline. With all the new projects coming to the Beltline, it's turning out to be a major success story.

[Stephen Ave]

I have no idea so I'm going to guess around what most others are and say 30 thousand increase for 2013.

[Stephen Ave]

I borrowed this from the 2013 Civic census thread. Numbers from Statscan for the metro area. last year's metro area growth was a whopping 57K. Unbelievable.

Originally Posted by WIGS