Quote:
Originally Posted by DCReid
The few US cities building towers 85-100 stories these days have been building all residential. That counts even the NYC and Chicago, where offices seems to top out at 60-65 floors even if they are over 1000 ft. Therefore, I would guess that Austin has the best chance since it is building many tall residential towers downtown. I don't currently see a market for a 85 story residential tower in the other southern cities besides Miami.
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I voted Atlanta but I think I would change my vote to Austin.
I don't see it happening any time soon in any of these cities really. San Francisco, Chicago, New York... those are the markets that could support a tower this height. Maybe Seattle, Miami and Philadelphia a little later into the future.
Atlanta is a bit more hemmed in by neighbourhoods with development restrictions than Houston and Dallas, and has a pretty fast growing core, and a rapid transit system that could eventually become a factor (although it's not that much of a factor for now). But tbh it's not building that many tall high rise condos and an 85 storey office is pretty out of the question, that would be like 375m.
I think Austin still has a ways to go before getting a 85 storey residential building, but maybe in a decade or two. I guess that would be like 275-300m, so not completely out of the question in the longer term future.
Top 5 buildings built between 2010 and 2020 in each metro area by floor count
Dallas: 42, 34, 33, 25, 20
Austin: 58, 56, 39, 38, 37
Houston: 49, 46, 40, 39, 35
Atlanta: 39, 35, 32, 30, 29
Nashville: 45, 41, 33, 32, 31
Miami: 81, 64, 62, 57, 56
Miami will of course get there first, almost certainly.
Austin has a fairly strong and hemmed in downtown. Historically a smaller city, its CBD isn't as expansive as Houston or Dallas' which have a lot more space to fill in imo. And it has a healthy downtown residential market, so it would make sense for it to be next after Miami.