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Originally Posted by ChiSoxRox
Louisiana dropping is a bit surprising to me. Does it have high taxes for the Sunbelt? An effect of the oil downturn? Checking the parish numbers, looks like New Orleans is dropping again for the first time post-Katrina, but the decline is pretty evenly spread across the state.
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There's something off about the estimates, at least for New Orleans, if not the rest of the state. The Census estimates were consistently low following Katrina and the same data used to challenge their estimates is showing decent growth in New Orleans. Occupied housing units rose by 8000 in the city from 2016 to 2020, yet the Census estimated a slight population decline during that period, so something doesn't add up.
I'll admit that the state hasn't been doing so well between the recent oil bust and trade wars (the ports between Baton Rouge and New Orleans do huge business exporting grain to China, for example), but things were looking up until 2020. In New Orleans, we are still seeing plenty of growth with remote working transplants and housing is more expensive than ever, even thought the tourism economy has been kneecapped.