Quote:
Originally Posted by waterloowarrior
The project budget is around $550 million, 8-10x bigger than the City's typical large capital projects like the Hospital Link, Hunt Club extension, Strandherd-Armstrong Bridge and West Transitway extension. I am glad they aren't trying to emulate the TTC and take on these massive capital projects themselves (e.g. Spadina subway extension - two years late and $600 million over budget)
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The fact we're contemplating spending $550M to get 12 km of unelectrified single track (only half of it actually along brand new RoW) in undeveloped and largely unencumbered terrain, a few sidings and about half a dozen each of stations and grade separations is a big part of the problem. This is quite probably going to be the most expensive bit of mainline railway per track-mile in the country. This shouldn't be a "massive capital project" at all.
Indeed the very fact you can even compare its costs to an 8 km
subway extension in the middle of urban Toronto should be the first clue that something is amiss.
Another rail project in Toronto we could compare it to is the Union-Pearson link, which cost $450M a few years ago: they had twice as much distance to build/upgrade, fully double tracked (or more) incorporating RoW widening for track additions on an active line, several major grade separations and even a ~3 km section of viaduct and elevated station at Pearson.
The two projects shouldn't even be in the same ballpark in terms of costs, nevermind ours being more. All perspective between what is being proposed and what it's going to cost relative to anything remotely comparable seems to have been lost.
Even the earlier $60M capacity expansion is out of line. The six DMUs cost $34M (so $5.7M each), leaving $26M for two sidings and a miscellany of other minor improvements. Adjusted for inflation, the original O-Train pilot with its 3 DMUs included cost about $36M. With the CWR replacement, call it $40M. So how did we manage to spend what amounts to $10M on each ~500 m siding just a decade and a half later?
We've been getting hosed on the Trillium Line ever since the original O-Train pilot project group was disbanded.