Quote:
Originally Posted by lzppjb
It's an interesting idea. I like the idea of using 100mph roller coaster technology. For example, 2 lines to downtown from the Parmer/I35 area (10 miles ~ 6 minutes @ 100mph). Alongside those lines would be 2 lines connecting downtown to 183/I35 (5 miles ~ 3 minutes @ 100mph). That would keep the cars from having to make stops every mile or two to pick up more passengers. Each area chosen as a destination would have dedicated lines.
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Your ideal will never even make it pass the first meeting of professional urban transit planners. Here's why, your idea is limited to express services that are 5 and 10 miles long. That can easily and cheaply be fulfilled by express bus services today. If you're going to spend billions of dollars on a mass transit system in an urban area, the vehicles are going to have to stop and pick up and drop off passengers every mile or two - preferrably every neighbor or at least every other neighborhood.
When you space the stations 10 miles apart, you'll be skipping too many neighborhoods. Those who live in those neighborhoods will not be kind to the vehicles or people riding in them, both politically and physically. Deciding which neighborhoods to skip will divide any political support needed to build and operate it.
When planning mass transit systems, keep in mind a few basic principles I have read over the years.
(1) There are limits on how far people will walk to ride public transit. ~90% will walk a quarter mile, ~50% will walk a half mile, <10% will walk three quarters a mile.
(2) There are limits on how long people will accept for a daily commute. ~90% will tolerate 30 minutes each way, ~50% will tolerate an hour each way, <10% will tolerate 90 minutes each way.
(3) The vehicles will lose at least 2 minutes at every stop, slowing down, dropping off and picking up passengers, and then speeding back up to speed.
Using those three principles, let's look at your 10 mile and 5 mile corridor lengths again.
For 5 miles and meeting the 90% thresholds.
It would require 11 stations including both terminus stations.
It would require an overall average speed of 10 mph.
It would loose 20 minutes at the stations.
Taking 20 minutes away from the 30 desired minutes, the vehicle will have to run at 30 mph between the stations.
That's within the capabilities of buses, streetcars, and light rail vehicles.
Now let's look at a 10 mile route meeting the 90% thresholds,
It would require 21 stations including both terminus stations
It would require an overall average speed of 20 mph
It would loose 40 minutes at the stations.
Taking 40 minutes from the allowed 30 minutes results in -10 minutes. There's no possible way to meet all the 90% thresholds for a 10 mile route. Some compromises must be made.
The compromise most transit agencies end up doing is placing stations a mile apart on average, where 50% of the potential passengers are willing to walk a half mile. This reduces the number of stations back to 11, and reduces the time lost at stations back to 20 minutes, leaving 10 minutes to travel the 10 miles, requiring vehicles capable of reaching 60 mph. Buses and light rail vehicles in dedicated lanes can achieve this speed.
When the length of the route is longer than 10 miles, further compromises are needed, with stations placed further apart than a mile and running time exceeding 30 minutes,
Let's look at a route 20 miles long, and this time try to meet the 50% thresholds.
There would require 21 stations
It would require an overall average speed of 20 mph
It would lose 40 minutes at stations.
Which would leave 20 minutes to travel 20 miles, requiring vehicles capable of achieving 60 mph. Again, light rail vehicles and buses in dedicated lanes are capable of meeting this speed.
Once the length of the corridor exceeds 20 miles, you are no longer looking urban solutions where most of the passengers can walk to the stations, you're looking at regional solutions with station spacing further than a mile apart where most of the passengers ride something to the stations. This is where commuter rail trains capable of achieving 79 mph speeds become the most preferred solution.