Quote:
Originally Posted by electricron
You're comparing apples to oranges when comparing CapMetroRail to anything else. The only destination station it visits is downtown Austin.
DART's busiest light rail lines run parallel to freeways. Charlotte's and Norfolk's sole light rail lines are also next to freeways. As long as there are sufficient riders and destinations to attract riders, I don't think it matters how much other transportation facilities are nearby. Price and connivence are important too.
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Actually, I think Austin's commuter rail is a great comparison. Although, their ridership did improve significantly (2.8k riders a weekday now - still quite low!) once they added more night service, and weekend service. Of course, SunRail won't be starting with many frequencies and its only M-F.
DART is nothing to emulate, either.
BTW the projections for SunRail's first phase is 4.3k riders a day (
http://www.progressiverailroading.co...-arrive--27560) Hopefully they can hit that, but it's hardly anything that will shift the paradigm in Central Florida.
Quote:
Originally Posted by atlantaguy
What in the world made you come to this conclusion?
I mentioned the upcoming reconstruction of I-4 meaning that SunRail is opening just in time to provide an alternative.
I don't know how familiar you are with Central Florida, but I-4 is the absolute spine of the region. And it is a disaster, but it is also where most of the development is clustered. The SunRail line roughly parallels I-4, slightly to the east - which is a very good thing, as it goes through the hearts of the various suburbs clustered to the north of the City.
SunRail will provide a very attractive alternative to the even greater nightmare that I-4 is certain to be over the next few years while it is being totally rebuilt, and will also be a huge catalyst for true TOD.
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1) I hope you are right about TOD. I am skeptical, but I would love to be wrong.
2) I grew up in Fort Myers, went to UF for undergrad and have been to Orlando at least 500 times. I'm a big fan of DT Orlando and some of it's neighborhoods, as well as Winter Park and Deland.
3) I see that your point was that
during the mess of the massive expansion of I-4 SunRail should hopefully see increased ridership. Surely you agree with me that huge expansions of nearby interstate capacity is a huge incentive
not to use transit, though?
Quote:
Originally Posted by scalziand
That's essentially what Boston has, and they get decent ridership(but somehow managed to decline over the past decade!), although Boston has many more lines. Those kinds of frequencies certainly seem OK for starter service.
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Yeah, cause Boston's transit ridership, built environment and SOV modeshare are definitely an apples to apples comparison with Central Florida.
Look, I hope SunRail is a huge success. Realistically, I think it can be modestly successful in the next 20 years or so. Interestingly enough, especially of after the politically motivated Gov. Scott killed HSR between Tampa-Orlando, this rail project has not received much negative scrutiny. That is likely because it is Mica pork, but either way, that should help it at least eek by at low frequencies and ridership.