Calgary Civic Census 2015

fusili · #1 Posted **Jun 30, 2015, 10:01 PM**

The 2015 Civic Census results should be released in a month or so. I will post the main results and link to the full results on this page when they are.

Let's start a prediction pool:

1. Total Calgary Growth / Total Population in 2015 (2014 was 1 195 194)
2. Total Beltline Growth / Population (21 357 in 2014)

Any others we should include?

DizzyEdge · #2 Posted **Jun 30, 2015, 10:25 PM**

I'd be curious about the 2014 and 2015 innercity/suburban percentages

fusili · #3 Posted **Jun 30, 2015, 10:38 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by DizzyEdge

I'd be curious about the 2014 and 2015 innercity/suburban percentages

Me too. I know that was reported last year, but I don't think it was in the Census. Can't remember the document it was published in.

Spring2008 · #4 Posted **Jul 16, 2015, 3:28 PM**

Airdrie's population growth slowed down about 30% from last year to about 7.00%. Prob a bit less variability in Calgary proper, though expecting a similar drop in population this census. Prob from 38,500 to about 28,000 this year.

Quote:

The population of Airdrie, as recorded in the 2015 census, is 58,690, up from 54,891 in the 2014 census. This equates to a 6.92 per cent growth rate or 10.4 people per day. From 2013 to 2014, Airdrie recorded a 10.76 per cent growth rate or 15 people per day.

http://www.airdriecityview.com/artic...7099986/-1/ACV

fusili · #5 Posted **Jul 28, 2015, 2:41 PM**

The census should be coming out soon and sources indicate the numbers will be similar to growth from last year. Any guesses to population growth?

Surrealplaces · #6 Posted **Jul 28, 2015, 2:54 PM**

I have heard from a freind in the banking industry that the growth will be similar, but a bit lower to last year's growth. The banks have a surprisingly accurate prediction of growth, as they can get a pretty good idea based on new accounts and accounts that have moved, etc... I was told around 33K.

I am going to go with 32,000 for the city with about 700 for the Beltline. I'm trying to think of any move-ins for the past year and there will be some for Drake, Alura and a few for Aura. There may be some carry over from Calla.

The next two years will be a big growth for the the Beltline.

Wooster · #7 Posted **Jul 28, 2015, 3:00 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by fusili

The census should be coming out soon and sources indicate the numbers will be similar to growth from last year. Any guesses to population growth?

I do think it'll be close to 30,000 for last year, but next year will grind to a screeching halt, with growth likely only in the 10,000 range (negative interprovincial migration).

Surrealplaces · #8 Posted **Jul 28, 2015, 3:28 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wooster

I do think it'll be close to 30,000 for last year, but next year will grind to a screeching halt, with growth likely only in the 10,000 range (negative interprovincial migration).

It'll be much lower for sure. I think it might be a bit higher...maybe around 14-15K....but only because the natural increase should be around 11-12K...plus international immigration, even though it has slowed is still surprisingly strong.

DizzyEdge · #9 Posted **Jul 28, 2015, 9:14 PM**

I was suprised to see that Okotoks isn't in the CMA. Anyone know what percentage of their population works in Calgary?

UofC.engineer · #10 Posted **Jul 28, 2015, 9:23 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by DizzyEdge

I was suprised to see that Okotoks isn't in the CMA. Anyone know what percentage of their population works in Calgary?

Yeah, for me it's kind of confusing having a CMA, CRP and Census Division 6 all with different members/boundaries.

Surrealplaces · #11 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 4:04 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by DizzyEdge

I was suprised to see that Okotoks isn't in the CMA. Anyone know what percentage of their population works in Calgary?

In the last census, there were some numbers, and IIRC, Okotoks has high numbers that commute to Calgary, but Foothills as a whole does not. Many people in Okotoks commute to High River, and vice-versa. Also, the numbers for Okotoks were much less than Airdrie for example.

I do recall that the percentage of traffic to Calgary was trending higher though. Much higher than the 2006 census. We'll get a better idea the next official census...which is what 2016?

red_179 · #12 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:35 PM**

Census results are in, increase of 35,721 for a total of 1,230,915 in Calgary.

http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-...census-figures

Rusty van Reddick · #13 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:36 PM**

1,230,915. More to come.

CalgaryAlex · #14 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:42 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rusty van Reddick

1,230,915. More to come.

Those are great numbers.

Surrealplaces · #15 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:45 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by red_179

Census results are in, increase of 35,721 for a total of 1,230,915 in Calgary.

http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-...census-figures

wow, those are some good growth numbers. 3K more than my 32K

Calgarian · #16 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:45 PM**

Anyone care to guess for the Calgary region? I guess 1 510 000...

fusili · #17 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:46 PM**

I would love to see a breakdown of greenfield vs established community growth. I guess I can just do up a spreadsheet quickly and manually put in the results when they become available on the website.

suburbia · #18 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:54 PM**

Breaking news: Calgary's population went up 35K. Beltline went up 500.

Chealion · #19 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 5:59 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by suburbia

Breaking news: Calgary's population went up 35K. Beltline went up 500.

Beltline went from 21,357 (2014) to 21,939 (2015). That's nearly 600.

Panorama Hills is still the largest community with 25,993, but Beltline took over Evergreen to take the number 2 spot.

fusili · #20 Posted **Jul 29, 2015, 6:08 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chealion

Beltline went from 21,357 (2014) to 21,939 (2015). That's nearly 600.

Panorama Hills is still the largest community with 25,993, but Beltline took over Evergreen to take the number 2 spot.

I predict we will see that change in 5 years. Beltline will grow at ~750 people per year for the next three years just due to current construction. Hell, Metropolitan itself will add 500 people.