Quote:
Originally Posted by mrnyc
wait, are there also estimates of the undocumented population and changes in that over the years? that would probably put it around 9M right now. i've always been curious about that, but never seen any numbers. does anyone have any info about it?
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In theory the census estimates captures the undocumented population and there is outreach to them during the actual census.
In reality there is an underestimation and the true population of the city is likely closer to 9 million. Folks that came here as children may be more willing to fill it out, but if you're undocumented in this country and arrived in the last 10 years or so, there is no way you're filling out the census forms, despite any assurances that the US Census Bureau that the information won't be misused. What's the personal incentive to do so? Plus there is an unwarranted fear of being caught. (Folks that came here as children may be more willing to fill it out.)
As for incentive to filling out the census form, if there was a law passed that required undocumented persons to complete the form as a condition of future legalization, what the population of NYC shoot up to 9.5 million! j/k
Instead, we also we also see a 200,000-300,000 person difference between the Census Bureau's estimates and the actual decennial count for NYC. My theory is the estimate is more accurate and the count is off. Does anyone have any unbiased scientific studies on this very issue? I would be interested in seeing if there is a basis for my theory.
Cynicism, are you still here man? I would have thought you would have moved on or be banned right now. Sounds like you'll be here for the long haul. If you ever make it out to a forum meetup, I'll buy you a beer.