Really do hope y'all are right. The real danger is long-term systemic, below trend activity. Part of what made the post-2008 years so lackluster is that we exited a recession (meaning growth occurred), but never saw the above-trend growth necessary to make up for the loss in economic activity and our growing population (See:
https://www.economicshelp.org/wp-con...rly-actual.jpg)
Now, Austin is not the national economy. Will we do better? Most assuredly. But a better macro-environment will still be a better environment for Austin. A "check mark" recovery sounds like sustained below trend to me. I've also been talking w/ folks at BCG about how they are envisioning a 'K' recovery; meaning unaffected industries have in many ways already recovered, but others are just continuing to tank, like leisure, tourism, travel, hospitality, food & bev, etc. which are not small parts of the economy.
Anyway, sorry for going off topic a bit. Would love to see this one happen!