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Originally Posted by esquire
I agree. You see this in a lot of tier 2 or 3 European cities that aren't quite big and dense enough to have subway systems... they tend to rely on some form of streetcar/light rail that provide relatively fast, frequent service and provide a generally high standard of infrastructure and amenities. It occupies a pretty good sweet spot that offers improved service compared to just on-street buses, but obviously far less expensive than a grade separated system. I just don't see how a subway would have been sustainable. Toronto is many times Winnipeg's size and even they had a fairly bare-bones network for decades that is only now starting to reach the next level in terms of scale.....
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Population projections never materialized, not even close. In the late 1950s Winnipeg was forecast to have 850,000 population by 1981; the city is just reaching that number now almost 40 years later. Population growth slowed from 3% annually in the 1950s to just over 1% in the 60s and to near zero by the late 70s.
Relatively too Winnipeg declined compared with other Canadian cities. In the 50s Winnipeg grew more slowly than Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver but not markedly. Beginning in the 1960s Winnipeg's growth rate dropped well below Toronto and Vancouver. Montreal slightly outpaced Winnipeg for the entire period. If Winnipeg had sustained the same population growth rate as Toronto or Vancouver between 1961 and 2016, the city would have a population of over 1.5 million today. If Winnipeg had experienced the same growth as Calgary (an outlier, yes) during the same period, the city would have 2.4 million.
In hindsight, the plan was far too ambitious. Keep in mind that the smallest city in North America with a metro system (until Ottawa's Confederation Line opens in the fall) is Cleveland, with a metro pop. of about 2 million.
Hard to say whether or not a single Portage-Main line would have been considered a while elephant and a liability by the late 90s. Though it certainly would have mitigated the urban decline we have seen in the North and West Ends it would have needed expensive re-investment by the early 2000s, requiring full replacement of rolling stock and massive refurbishment of the stations, including making them accessible.
A tramway (light-rail) on mainly dedicated rights-of-way represents the best investment for Winnipeg.