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Originally Posted by Ant131531
Let's be realistic. Atlanta won't build out that far in our lifetimes in a dense, urban way. Realistically, in our lifetimes(if you're under 30), Atlanta can probably build out the inner 40 square miles or so. Expecting an urban fabric that spans across 10 miles everyway in a cohesive way is impossible given American cities simply don't grow that fast anymore and they build out using 5-7 story blocky developments or highrises which require less land than the rowhouses neighborhoods of the NE or 1-2 story commercial buildings lining streets.
And if that's the case, than a city like Boston also has that problem. It's dense urban area isn't that large to be honest. It can't be larger than 30-35 square miles, yet no one has problems with it here. It's metro spawls pretty bad as well and it's metro densities are almost low as Atlanta's, much lower than Houston's or Dallas'.
And as someone pointed out a while back, most people only care about the inner 25 square miles of a city. Outside of that, it isn't that big of a deal if it's urban or not. Only cities as large as Paris, NYC, Tokyo, London have a lot of things to do outside of the inner 25 square miles.
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Houston is still growing pretty fast, and you don't need to completely redevelop every square inch of the entire greater metro area core to make it more urban. You can get developers to build (or give back land for) new street connections, or even just pedestrian connections (which require much less space) to improve the pedestrian and street network. You can do that either by having it as a requirement for any redevelopment to get approved, or maybe coupling it with incentives like density bonuses or parking requirement reductions. Which makes sense and is fair imo, since after all, better connectivity will allow for better alternatives to driving, and to accommodate density better.
In most situations, the streets that already exist can stay where they are, it's just that you will need a few new connections. Sometimes, you don't even need that many new connections, a few key connections can already make a big difference. Sometimes the barriers to connectivity aren't even private land, but small streams or railways.
Ideally the redevelopment would be concentrated more around the transit stops and transit nodes. The areas further from transit (say a 5-10 min walk vs <5min) might not "become as urban" but even if the remain in their current state, improvements in transit and more amenities a 5-10min walk away will still have a certain impact on their residents' lifestyles.
And as for how much cities are growing, there are cities that are still growing at a substantial pace. With Houston for example, the inner 300 square miles currently have a density of about 5000 ppsm, maybe a bit more depending on the exact boundaries. Over the next 30 years, at current growth rates, the Houston MSA will grow by about 3.5 million people. Depending on how much of that will be infill, there could be enough growth to make the inner 40 square miles very urban while still making some of the areas beyond relatively urban as well.