Quote:
Originally Posted by Drybrain
At three per year, Timmins is at 6.8 per 100,000, or thereabouts. Nationwide, the average rate is 1.5 homicides per 100,000, so Timmins should only have one every couple of years to hit average.
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The Problem with Timmins is its a very low Density Canadian City, its has 45,000 People but spread out across a land area of:
2,979.15 km2 (Thats just over Half the Land of Metro Calgary but with a mere Fraction of Calgary's Population) heck there are Wards in Calgary with bigger populations than all of Timmins..
That Means Timmins is just over 14.5 persons per Square km2 (38/square mile).
Criminals tend to do/ commit more Crimes in Lower Density Area's (Fewer Eye Witnesses, less of a Police Presence, slower response times & an easier getaway also).
Just ask the U.S. Most of their Major Cities are Low Density Suburban Sprawl.
I suspect that this is another reason Thunder Bay has a High Violent Crime Rate too, there are no people for miles on End, you kill someone dump the body in the river & nobody knows for weeks because the areas are rarely explored, the Larger the Population in general (as well as density) the lower the Crime Severity, I consider Violent Crime like, Homicide, Armed Robbery, Rape, Aggravated Assault, Automobile Theft, Home Invasions, as High on the Crime Severity Index.
Criminals are also more likely to commit crimes in the Early & Later Hours of the Day when the density & visibility are at the lowest point's
(When there is no Daylight & very poorly lit area's).