Quote:
Originally Posted by Crawford
Not true. The fertility rate of White Americans is much higher than that of Germans.
And fertility rates among White Americans are stable; fertility rates among Germans have been dropping non-stop for decades. The reason that fertility rates in the U.S. have dropped in recent years is due entirely to decreases in Hispanic and Black fertility rates (Black rates are now the same as White rates), while Asian and White fertility rates have remained constant.
White fertility rate in the U.S. is around 1.8; overall fertility rate in Germany is around 1.4. That's a major difference in developed world terms. And White births are now less than 50% of all U.S. births.
And the problem in Germany isn't the fertility rate per se; it's the age distribution. The German population is so skewed older that there aren't enough people in the child-bearing cohort. That's the main issue. Gernany actually has the lowest birth rate in the world, even though many countries have lower fertility rate.
http://www.dw.com/en/germany-has-low...ows/a-18485179 |
You are right, I thought the TFR of White Americans was similar to Canadians (the fertility rate of native-born Canadians is 1.5). That being said, the fertility rate of White Americans has been below replacement levels for decades, and White deaths exceeded births in 2013 and 2014.
The rest of your post seems to echo what I wrote.