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Old Posted Nov 8, 2013, 7:23 PM
New Brisavoine New Brisavoine is offline
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Now that we have the final results from the 2011 UK census (and 2001-2011 intercensal estimates) and the 2010 French census, here is a comparison of population growth in the French and British metropolitan areas from 1990 to 2010.

I've used a 20-year period from 1990 to 2010 both because a longer period is more meaningful than a short one for demographic evolution (demographic evolution over a small number of years may be subject to short-term phenomenons of no consequence on the long term) and because the 1999 census in France underestimated the population of the French metro areas, whereas the 2010 and 1990 censuses were much more accurate, so 1990-2010 growth rates are much closer to the truth for the French metro areas, whereas 1999-2010 growth rates would be artificially distorted by the 1999 underestimates.

The French metro areas are those officially defined by the French statistical office. The British metro areas have been defined by the British forumer Jonesy55 based on his intimate knowledge of his country (there are no metro areas officially defined in the UK). I've selected all the British and French metro areas with more than half a million inhabitants in 2010.

The map below shows the 19 British and 17 French metro areas with more than 500,000 inhabitants used to calculate the growth figures here. I've also added the metro area of Geneva, which has more than 500,000 inhabitants and whose territory largely extends on French soil (only the French part of the Geneva metro area is colored in the map, but in the lists of figures below both the French and Swiss parts are included).



All growth figures have been calculated within constant 2010 borders (the borders of the metro areas shown on the map above), so these figures reflect purely demographic growth and not growth due to enlargement of the metro areas. First, absolute growth figures, then relative growth figures. Relative growth figures are more meaningful than absolute growth figures, because the absolute growth figures depend largely on the larger or smaller territories defined by Jonesy55 for the British metro areas (compare Manchester and Birmingham for instance).

Absolute population growth from 1990 to 2010:
- London: +1,763,500 (i.e. the London metro area, which follows the definition of Eurostat's London LUZ, had 1,763,500 more inhabitants in 2010 than in 1990)
- Paris: +1,203,803
- Toulouse: +341,096
- Lyon: +339,322
- Bordeaux: +191,573
- Geneva (French + Swiss parts): +190,298
- Marseille: +189,715
- Birmingham: +184,300
- Nantes: +167,494
- West Yorkshire (Leeds-Bradford): +158,300
- Rennes: +156,061
- Montpellier: +148,399
- Manchester: +132,800
- Nottingham-Derby: +124,000
- Bristol: +108,900

- Nice: +108,112
- Leicester: +102,500
- Southampton-Portsmouth: +101,300

- Strasbourg: +99,107
- Edinburgh : +85,384
- Avignon: +80,291
- Cardiff: +79,000
- Grenoble: +76,478
- Toulon: +75,214
- Lille: +58,911
- Bournemouth-Poole: +52,800
- Belfast: +47,889
- Humberside: +47,700
- South Yorkshire (Sheffield-Doncaster): +44,100

- Rouen: +35,925
- Stoke-on-Trent: +14,100
- Teeside: -300

- Saint-Etienne: -8,722
- Douai-Lens: -17,356

- Tyne and Wear (Newcastle): -25,100
- Glasgow: -42,149
- Liverpool: -62,400


Relative population growth, yearly average from 1990 to 2010:
- Toulouse: +1.63% (i.e. in the 20 years between 1990 and 2010, the Toulouse metro area grew on average by +1.63% every year, which is quite significant over such a long period of 20 years, because it means that in 2010 the Toulouse metro area had 38% more inhabitants than in 1990)
- Montpellier: +1.58%
- Geneva (French + Swiss parts): +1.33%
- Rennes: +1.33%
- Nantes: +1.07%
- Bordeaux: +0.93%
- Avignon: +0.86%
- Lyon: +0.85%
- London: +0.74%
- Strasbourg: +0.70%
- Toulon: +0.66%
- Leicester: +0.66%
- Grenoble: +0.61%
- Marseille: +0.59%
- Nice: +0.57%
- Bournemouth-Poole: +0.55%
- Edinburgh: +0.54%
- Bristol: +0.54%
FRANCE (whole country): +0.54%
- Southampton-Portsmouth: +0.54%

- Paris: +0.52%
UNITED KINGDOM (whole country): +0.46%
- Nottingham-Derby: +0.46%
- West Yorkshire (Leeds-Bradford): +0.37%
- Belfast: +0.33%
- Cardiff: +0.29%

- Rouen: +0.28%
- Humberside: +0.27%
- Lille: +0.26%
- Birmingham: +0.25%
- Manchester: +0.24%
- South Yorkshire (Sheffield-Doncaster): +0.17%
- Stoke-on-Trent: +0.12%
- Teeside: -0.00%

- Saint-Etienne: -0.08%
- Tyne and Wear (Newcastle): -0.11%
- Glasgow: -0.12%

- Douai-Lens: -0.16%

- Liverpool: -0.19%
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Last edited by New Brisavoine; Nov 8, 2013 at 7:53 PM.
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