Quote:
Originally Posted by swimmer_spe
This pandemic has been around for about 3 months. Give it 5 years and you'll likely see those cities have a slightly lower, or stagnated population.
You are not going to see this in 3 months of lockdown.
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People have a tendency to forget things quickly.
By early 2021 there will probably be a vaccine. By then, a lot of people will have had the disease and contracted antibodies anyway (estimates are that the actual number of infected people is 10 times as much as the official numbers when including all those who are asymptomatic).
Sure, some people realize that it sucks to be living in a 3-room condo while there is a lockdown. I'd go crazy too... But a situation like this hasn't happened since the Spanish Flu in 1918. It's not like there will be pandemics like this every decade. Maybe it will happen a little more often than before (say every 75 years instead of every century) but it's pretty much a once in a lifetime thing.
Of course, transit ridership will take some time to go back to normal, and public places won't be as full for a while, but eventually people will come back and the lockdown will be a distant memory. Those who want to move out of cities in case something like this happens again well... Kind of a dumb move if you ask me since pandemics rarely occur but it's their choice.
If anything, the added active transport infrastructure in many cities due to the distanciation norms will make people fall in love with their urban neighborhoods again.